Which company has the best AI model end of January?
$232,500 Vol.
Google 92%
xAI 5.1%
OpenAI 2.7%
Anthropic <1%
OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Google
$26,597 Vol.
92%

$26,597 Vol.
92%

xAI
$20,835 Vol.
5%

xAI
$20,835 Vol.
5%

OpenAI
$19,960 Vol.
3%

OpenAI
$19,960 Vol.
3%

Anthropic
$18,419 Vol.
1%

Anthropic
$18,419 Vol.
1%

DeepSeek
$21,115 Vol.
<1%

DeepSeek
$21,115 Vol.
<1%

Z.ai
$16,227 Vol.
<1%

Z.ai
$16,227 Vol.
<1%

Alibaba
$20,021 Vol.
<1%

Alibaba
$20,021 Vol.
<1%

Baidu
$23,223 Vol.
<1%

Baidu
$23,223 Vol.
<1%

Moonshot
$18,992 Vol.
<1%

Moonshot
$18,992 Vol.
<1%

Mistral
$19,321 Vol.
<1%

Mistral
$19,321 Vol.
<1%

Meituan
$27,791 Vol.
<1%

Meituan
$27,791 Vol.
<1%
Rules
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena score based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on January 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.
If two models are tied for the highest arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g., if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.
If two models are tied for the highest arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g., if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Created At: Dec 2, 2025, 11:02 PM UTC
Volume
$232,500End Date
Jan 31, 2026Created At
Dec 2, 2025, 11:02 PM UTCResolver
0x2F5e3684c...$232,500 Vol.
Which company has the best AI model end of January?
Google 92%
xAI 5.1%
OpenAI 2.7%
Anthropic <1%
OUTCOME
% CHANCE

$26,597 Vol.
92%

xAI
$20,835 Vol.
5%

OpenAI
$19,960 Vol.
3%

Anthropic
$18,419 Vol.
1%

DeepSeek
$21,115 Vol.
<1%

Z.ai
$16,227 Vol.
<1%

Alibaba
$20,021 Vol.
<1%

Baidu
$23,223 Vol.
<1%

Moonshot
$18,992 Vol.
<1%

Mistral
$19,321 Vol.
<1%

Meituan
$27,791 Vol.
<1%
About
Volume
$232,500End Date
Jan 31, 2026Created At
Dec 2, 2025, 11:02 PM UTCResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.



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