Alibaba 100.0%
OpenAI <1%
Meta <1%
Google <1%
$897,354 Vol.
$897,354 Vol.
Oct 31, 2025

OpenAI
No

Meta
No

No

Alibaba
Yes

Microsoft
No

Tencent
No

xAI
No

Anthropic
No

DeepSeek
No

Mistral AI
No

Z.ai
No

Moonshot
No
Alibaba 100.0%
OpenAI <1%
Meta <1%
Google <1%
$897,354 Vol.
$897,354 Vol.
Oct 31, 2025

OpenAI
$59,804 Vol.
No

Meta
$49,439 Vol.
No

$100,089 Vol.
No

Alibaba
$83,359 Vol.
Yes

Microsoft
$35,291 Vol.
No

Tencent
$50,276 Vol.
No

xAI
$126,908 Vol.
No

Anthropic
$65,194 Vol.
No

DeepSeek
$31,202 Vol.
No

Mistral AI
$112,828 Vol.
No

Z.ai
$68,500 Vol.
No

Moonshot
$114,464 Vol.
No
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the second-highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on October 31, 2025, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.
If two models are tied for the second best arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g. if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the second-highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on October 31, 2025, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.
If two models are tied for the second best arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g. if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.
If two models are tied for the second best arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g. if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Market Opened: Sep 10, 2025, 8:35 PM ET
Volume
$897,354End Date
Oct 31, 2025Market Opened
Sep 10, 2025, 8:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No

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