Amid escalating US-Iran military strikes and a conflict ignited by early March airstrikes on Tehran, indirect diplomacy persists through mediators like Oman, Pakistan, and Qatar. The US transmitted a 15-point ceasefire plan on March 24, which Iran is reviewing but its foreign minister stated on March 27 carries no intent for direct talks. President Trump extended his deadline for a deal to April 6, citing progress via intermediaries, while special envoy Steve Witkoff indicated possible negotiations this week. Pakistan eyes hosting a high-level US-Iran session in Islamabad soon, though Tehran's reluctance and battlefield dynamics maintain high uncertainty for any formal diplomatic meeting.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?
$971,442 Vol.
Apr 30, 2026
March 31
7%
April 10
19%
April 30
47%
June 30
79%
$971,442 Vol.
March 31
$616,834 Vol.
7%
April 10
$2,458 Vol.
19%
April 30
$89,931 Vol.
47%
June 30
$16,628 Vol.
79%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.Amid escalating US-Iran military strikes and a conflict ignited by early March airstrikes on Tehran, indirect diplomacy persists through mediators like Oman, Pakistan, and Qatar. The US transmitted a 15-point ceasefire plan on March 24, which Iran is reviewing but its foreign minister stated on March 27 carries no intent for direct talks. President Trump extended his deadline for a deal to April 6, citing progress via intermediaries, while special envoy Steve Witkoff indicated possible negotiations this week. Pakistan eyes hosting a high-level US-Iran session in Islamabad soon, though Tehran's reluctance and battlefield dynamics maintain high uncertainty for any formal diplomatic meeting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Mar 12, 2026, 1:42 PM ET
Volume
$971,442End Date
Mar 31, 2026Market Opened
Mar 12, 2026, 1:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.Amid escalating US-Iran military strikes and a conflict ignited by early March airstrikes on Tehran, indirect diplomacy persists through mediators like Oman, Pakistan, and Qatar. The US transmitted a 15-point ceasefire plan on March 24, which Iran is reviewing but its foreign minister stated on March 27 carries no intent for direct talks. President Trump extended his deadline for a deal to April 6, citing progress via intermediaries, while special envoy Steve Witkoff indicated possible negotiations this week. Pakistan eyes hosting a high-level US-Iran session in Islamabad soon, though Tehran's reluctance and battlefield dynamics maintain high uncertainty for any formal diplomatic meeting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$971,442End Date
Mar 31, 2026Market Opened
Mar 12, 2026, 1:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Amid escalating US-Iran military strikes and a conflict ignited by early March airstrikes on Tehran, indirect diplomacy persists through mediators like Oman, Pakistan, and Qatar. The US transmitted a 15-point ceasefire plan on March 24, which Iran is reviewing but its foreign minister stated on March 27 carries no intent for direct talks. President Trump extended his deadline for a deal to April 6, citing progress via intermediaries, while special envoy Steve Witkoff indicated possible negotiations this week. Pakistan eyes hosting a high-level US-Iran session in Islamabad soon, though Tehran's reluctance and battlefield dynamics maintain high uncertainty for any formal diplomatic meeting.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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