U.S. military action against Iran in 2024?
$495,157 Vol.
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States initiates a military action on Iranian soil, airspace, or maritime territory between October 21 and December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a "military action" will be considered to be any use of force executed by the U.S. on Iranian soil, airspace, or maritime territory (e.g. if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an U.S. missile, this market will resolve to "Yes") that is officially acknowledged by the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting. This includes, but is not limited to, airstrikes, naval attacks, or ground invasions. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count towards the resolution of this market.
In the case that the "Yes" resolution criteria are met prior to this market's resolution date, this market will resolve immediately.
For the purposes of this market, a "military action" will be considered to be any use of force executed by the U.S. on Iranian soil, airspace, or maritime territory (e.g. if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an U.S. missile, this market will resolve to "Yes") that is officially acknowledged by the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting. This includes, but is not limited to, airstrikes, naval attacks, or ground invasions. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count towards the resolution of this market.
In the case that the "Yes" resolution criteria are met prior to this market's resolution date, this market will resolve immediately.
Created At: Oct 22, 2024, 2:53 PM
Volume
$495,157End Date
Dec 31, 2024Created At
Oct 22, 2024, 2:53 PMResolver
0x6A9D22261...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
$495,157 Vol.
U.S. military action against Iran in 2024?
About
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States initiates a military action on Iranian soil, airspace, or maritime territory between October 21 and December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a "military action" will be considered to be any use of force executed by the U.S. on Iranian soil, airspace, or maritime territory (e.g. if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an U.S. missile, this market will resolve to "Yes") that is officially acknowledged by the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting. This includes, but is not limited to, airstrikes, naval attacks, or ground invasions. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count towards the resolution of this market.
In the case that the "Yes" resolution criteria are met prior to this market's resolution date, this market will resolve immediately.
For the purposes of this market, a "military action" will be considered to be any use of force executed by the U.S. on Iranian soil, airspace, or maritime territory (e.g. if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an U.S. missile, this market will resolve to "Yes") that is officially acknowledged by the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting. This includes, but is not limited to, airstrikes, naval attacks, or ground invasions. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count towards the resolution of this market.
In the case that the "Yes" resolution criteria are met prior to this market's resolution date, this market will resolve immediately.
Volume
$495,157End Date
Dec 31, 2024Created At
Oct 22, 2024, 2:53 PMResolver
0x6A9D22261...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
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