41.0–41.4 100.0%
<40.0 <1%
40.0–40.4 <1%
40.5–40.9 <1%
$104,119 Vol.
$104,119 Vol.
Jan 31, 2026
<40.0
$20,731 Vol.
No
40.0–40.4
$12,908 Vol.
No
40.5–40.9
$16,795 Vol.
No
41.0–41.4
$24,232 Vol.
Yes
41.5–41.9
$19,974 Vol.
No
42.0+
$9,480 Vol.
No
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on January 30, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on January 30, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Created At: Jan 23, 2026, 10:07 AM ET
Volume
$104,119End Date
Jan 31, 2026Created At
Jan 23, 2026, 10:07 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
41.0–41.4 100.0%
<40.0 <1%
40.0–40.4 <1%
40.5–40.9 <1%
$104,119 Vol.
$104,119 Vol.
Jan 31, 2026
<40.0
$20,731 Vol.
No
40.0–40.4
$12,908 Vol.
No
40.5–40.9
$16,795 Vol.
No
41.0–41.4
$24,232 Vol.
Yes
41.5–41.9
$19,974 Vol.
No
42.0+
$9,480 Vol.
No
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Beware of external links.