Market icon

Trump approval rating on January 30?

41.0–41.4 36%

40.5–40.9 24%

41.5–41.9 24%

<40.0 18%

NEW

Rules

This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on January 30, 2026.

Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).

This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.

The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volume
$1,675
End Date
Jan 31, 2026
Created At
Jan 23, 2026, 10:07 AM ET

Beware of external links.

Market icon

Trump approval rating on January 30?

41.0–41.4 36%

40.5–40.9 24%

41.5–41.9 24%

<40.0 18%

NEW

<40.0

$338 Vol.

18%

40.0–40.4

$253 Vol.

12%

40.5–40.9

$253 Vol.

24%

41.0–41.4

$263 Vol.

36%

41.5–41.9

$285 Vol.

24%

42.0+

$282 Vol.

12%

About

Volume
$1,675
End Date
Jan 31, 2026
Created At
Jan 23, 2026, 10:07 AM ET

Beware of external links.