Recent reports of SpaceX preparing a confidential IPO filing as early as this week, targeting a $1.75 trillion valuation and a potential June listing, have driven trader consensus toward the 1.5T-2.0T outcome at 52.5% implied probability, reflecting Starlink's explosive revenue growth—projected at 80% to $18.7 billion in 2026 from satellite broadband dominance. The 2.0T-2.5T bucket at 24% captures upside from reusable rocket milestones and AI integration ambitions, while lower brackets like 1.0T-1.5T (9.5%) fade amid surging private valuations from $1.25T. Key catalysts include SEC review timelines and final pricing in coming weeks, with geopolitical tensions posing minor risks to sentiment.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated$1.859T
1.5T-2.0T 53%
2.0T-2.5T 24%
1.0T-1.5T 10%
2.5T-3.0T 6.0%
$385,687 Vol.
$385,687 Vol.
<1.0T
3%
1.0T-1.5T
10%
1.5T-2.0T
53%
2.0T-2.5T
24%
2.5T-3.0T
6%
3.0T-3.5T
3%
3.5T+
3%
No IPO before 2028
2%
1.5T-2.0T 53%
2.0T-2.5T 24%
1.0T-1.5T 10%
2.5T-3.0T 6.0%
$385,687 Vol.
$385,687 Vol.
<1.0T
$8,592 Vol.
3%
1.0T-1.5T
$5,812 Vol.
10%
1.5T-2.0T
$7,824 Vol.
53%
2.0T-2.5T
$8,198 Vol.
24%
2.5T-3.0T
$55,670 Vol.
6%
3.0T-3.5T
$286,729 Vol.
3%
3.5T+
$9,129 Vol.
3%
No IPO before 2028
$8,191 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Recent reports of SpaceX preparing a confidential IPO filing as early as this week, targeting a $1.75 trillion valuation and a potential June listing, have driven trader consensus toward the 1.5T-2.0T outcome at 52.5% implied probability, reflecting Starlink's explosive revenue growth—projected at 80% to $18.7 billion in 2026 from satellite broadband dominance. The 2.0T-2.5T bucket at 24% captures upside from reusable rocket milestones and AI integration ambitions, while lower brackets like 1.0T-1.5T (9.5%) fade amid surging private valuations from $1.25T. Key catalysts include SEC review timelines and final pricing in coming weeks, with geopolitical tensions posing minor risks to sentiment.
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Market Opened: Mar 25, 2026, 6:12 PM ET
Volume
$385,687Market Opened
Mar 25, 2026, 6:12 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Recent reports of SpaceX preparing a confidential IPO filing as early as this week, targeting a $1.75 trillion valuation and a potential June listing, have driven trader consensus toward the 1.5T-2.0T outcome at 52.5% implied probability, reflecting Starlink's explosive revenue growth—projected at 80% to $18.7 billion in 2026 from satellite broadband dominance. The 2.0T-2.5T bucket at 24% captures upside from reusable rocket milestones and AI integration ambitions, while lower brackets like 1.0T-1.5T (9.5%) fade amid surging private valuations from $1.25T. Key catalysts include SEC review timelines and final pricing in coming weeks, with geopolitical tensions posing minor risks to sentiment.
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volume
$385,687Market Opened
Mar 25, 2026, 6:12 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent reports of SpaceX preparing a confidential IPO filing as early as this week, targeting a $1.75 trillion valuation and a potential June listing, have driven trader consensus toward the 1.5T-2.0T outcome at 52.5% implied probability, reflecting Starlink's explosive revenue growth—projected at 80% to $18.7 billion in 2026 from satellite broadband dominance. The 2.0T-2.5T bucket at 24% captures upside from reusable rocket milestones and AI integration ambitions, while lower brackets like 1.0T-1.5T (9.5%) fade amid surging private valuations from $1.25T. Key catalysts include SEC review timelines and final pricing in coming weeks, with geopolitical tensions posing minor risks to sentiment.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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