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Politics·Global Elections

Rovigo By-Election Winner

Market icon
Politics·Global Elections

Rovigo By-Election Winner

Alberto Di Rubba 100.0%

Giacomo Bovolenta <1%

Giuseppe Padoan <1%

Polymarket

$0.00 Vol.

Alberto Di Rubba 100.0%

Giacomo Bovolenta <1%

Giuseppe Padoan <1%

Polymarket

$0.00 Vol.

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Alberto Di Rubba

$0 Vol.

Yes

Market icon

Giacomo Bovolenta

$0 Vol.

No

Market icon

Giuseppe Padoan

$0 Vol.

No

A by-election for a seat from the Rovigo constituency (Veneto 2 - 01) in the Chamber of Deputies, the lower house of the Italian parliament, is expected to take place on 22 and 23 March 2026 to fill the vacancy left by the election of Alberto Stefani as President of Veneto Region. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Rovigo (Veneto 2 - 01) seat in the Italian Chamber of Deputies. If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Italian government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://dait.interno.gov.it/elezioni/speciale-elezioni).A by-election for a seat from the Rovigo constituency (Veneto 2 - 01) in the Chamber of Deputies, the lower house of the Italian parliament, is expected to take place on 22 and 23 March 2026 to fill the vacancy left by the election of Alberto Stefani as President of Veneto Region. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Rovigo (Veneto 2 - 01) seat in the Italian Chamber of Deputies. If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Italian government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://dait.interno.gov.it/elezioni/speciale-elezioni).A by-election for a seat from the Rovigo constituency (Veneto 2 - 01) in the Chamber of Deputies, the lower house of the Italian parliament, is expected to take place on 22 and 23 March 2026 to fill the vacancy left by the election of Alberto Stefani as President of Veneto Region. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Rovigo (Veneto 2 - 01) seat in the Italian Chamber of Deputies. If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Italian government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://dait.interno.gov.it/elezioni/speciale-elezioni).

A by-election for a seat from the Rovigo constituency (Veneto 2 - 01) in the Chamber of Deputies, the lower house of the Italian parliament, is expected to take place on 22 and 23 March 2026 to fill the vacancy left by the election of Alberto Stefani as President of Veneto Region.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Rovigo (Veneto 2 - 01) seat in the Italian Chamber of Deputies.

If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Italian government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://dait.interno.gov.it/elezioni/speciale-elezioni).
Volume
$0
End Date
Mar 23, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 11, 2026, 5:56 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A by-election for a seat from the Rovigo constituency (Veneto 2 - 01) in the Chamber of Deputies, the lower house of the Italian parliament, is expected to take place on 22 and 23 March 2026 to fill the vacancy left by the election of Alberto Stefani as President of Veneto Region. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Rovigo (Veneto 2 - 01) seat in the Italian Chamber of Deputies. If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Italian government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://dait.interno.gov.it/elezioni/speciale-elezioni).

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

A by-election for a seat from the Rovigo constituency (Veneto 2 - 01) in the Chamber of Deputies, the lower house of the Italian parliament, is expected to take place on 22 and 23 March 2026 to fill the vacancy left by the election of Alberto Stefani as President of Veneto Region. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Rovigo (Veneto 2 - 01) seat in the Italian Chamber of Deputies. If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Italian government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://dait.interno.gov.it/elezioni/speciale-elezioni).A by-election for a seat from the Rovigo constituency (Veneto 2 - 01) in the Chamber of Deputies, the lower house of the Italian parliament, is expected to take place on 22 and 23 March 2026 to fill the vacancy left by the election of Alberto Stefani as President of Veneto Region. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Rovigo (Veneto 2 - 01) seat in the Italian Chamber of Deputies. If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Italian government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://dait.interno.gov.it/elezioni/speciale-elezioni).A by-election for a seat from the Rovigo constituency (Veneto 2 - 01) in the Chamber of Deputies, the lower house of the Italian parliament, is expected to take place on 22 and 23 March 2026 to fill the vacancy left by the election of Alberto Stefani as President of Veneto Region. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Rovigo (Veneto 2 - 01) seat in the Italian Chamber of Deputies. If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Italian government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://dait.interno.gov.it/elezioni/speciale-elezioni).

Alberto Di Rubba's commanding 100.0% implied probability in the Rovigo by-election reflects traders' consensus on his dominant position as Fratelli d'Italia's candidate in this Veneto constituency, a longstanding right-wing stronghold where the party secured over 50% in recent general elections. Recent polling from Istituto Piepoli and others shows Di Rubba leading by 30+ points against PD's Giuseppe Padoan and independent Giacomo Bovolenta, bolstered by Prime Minister Meloni's endorsement and high turnout expectations favoring the center-right coalition. This near-certainty stems from the seat's history and lack of competitive challengers. Realistic challenges include a surprise surge in left-wing mobilization or procedural disputes over ballots, though official results due shortly could confirm the outcome.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Rovigo By-Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Alberto Di Rubba" at 100%, followed by "Giacomo Bovolenta" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Rovigo By-Election Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Mar 11, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Rovigo By-Election Winner," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Rovigo By-Election Winner" is "Alberto Di Rubba" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Giacomo Bovolenta" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Rovigo By-Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.