Market icon

Richest person on March 31?

Market icon

Richest person on March 31?

Elon Musk 99.8%

Larry Ellison <1%

Bernard Arnault <1%

Jensen Huang <1%

Polymarket

$542,281 Vol.

Elon Musk 99.8%

Larry Ellison <1%

Bernard Arnault <1%

Jensen Huang <1%

Polymarket

$542,281 Vol.

Market icon

Elon Musk

$201,404 Vol.

100%

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Larry Ellison

$38,698 Vol.

<1%

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Bernard Arnault

$109,706 Vol.

<1%

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Jensen Huang

$0 Vol.

<1%

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Steve Ballmer

$18,694 Vol.

<1%

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Sergey Brin

$18,388 Vol.

<1%

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Mark Zuckerberg

$0 Vol.

<1%

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Jeff Bezos

$84,412 Vol.

<1%

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Warren Buffett

$70,981 Vol.

<1%

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Larry Page

$0 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the name ranked #1 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on March 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by April 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors Elon Musk as the richest person on March 31, with 99.8% implied probability, reflecting his insurmountable lead in real-time billionaire rankings from Forbes and Bloomberg—currently over $800 billion, more than triple Larry Page's $227 billion in second place. This dominance stems from explosive gains in Tesla and SpaceX valuations amid AI hype and SpaceX milestones, solidified by Forbes' March 2026 list crowning Musk the richest person ever recorded at $839 billion. No major challengers like Larry Ellison or Bernard Arnault have closed the gap recently, despite past brief surges. Realistic upsets would require a catastrophic Tesla plunge coupled with rival windfalls, such as Nvidia's Jensen Huang riding an AI boom, though daily fluctuations rarely bridge such chasms before end-of-day snapshots.

This market will resolve according to the name ranked #1 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on March 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by April 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
Volume
$542,281
End Date
Mar 31, 2026
Market Opened
Nov 12, 2025, 5:23 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the name ranked #1 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on March 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by April 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
This market will resolve according to the name ranked #1 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on March 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by April 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors Elon Musk as the richest person on March 31, with 99.8% implied probability, reflecting his insurmountable lead in real-time billionaire rankings from Forbes and Bloomberg—currently over $800 billion, more than triple Larry Page's $227 billion in second place. This dominance stems from explosive gains in Tesla and SpaceX valuations amid AI hype and SpaceX milestones, solidified by Forbes' March 2026 list crowning Musk the richest person ever recorded at $839 billion. No major challengers like Larry Ellison or Bernard Arnault have closed the gap recently, despite past brief surges. Realistic upsets would require a catastrophic Tesla plunge coupled with rival windfalls, such as Nvidia's Jensen Huang riding an AI boom, though daily fluctuations rarely bridge such chasms before end-of-day snapshots.

This market will resolve according to the name ranked #1 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on March 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by April 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
Volume
$542,281
End Date
Mar 31, 2026
Market Opened
Nov 12, 2025, 5:23 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the name ranked #1 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on March 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by April 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Richest person on March 31?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Elon Musk" at 100%, followed by "Larry Ellison" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Richest person on March 31?" has generated $542.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 12, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Richest person on March 31?," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Richest person on March 31?" is "Elon Musk" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Larry Ellison" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Richest person on March 31?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.