Market icon

Portugal Presidential Election

$25,453,401 Vol.

Luís Marques Mendes (PSD) 54%

Henrique Gouveia e Melo (IND) 28%

André Ventura (CH) 8.1%

António José Seguro (IND) 5.5%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Rules

Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Portugal on 18 or 25 January 2026, with a possible second round on 8 or 15 February 2026. A second round will be held if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.

This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Portuguese government, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (https://www.cne.pt/).
Volume
$25,453,401
End Date
Jan 25, 2026
Created At
Aug 29, 2025, 7:00 PM
shield

Beware of external links.

$25,453,401 Vol.

Market icon

Portugal Presidential Election

Luís Marques Mendes (PSD) 54%

Henrique Gouveia e Melo (IND) 28%

André Ventura (CH) 8.1%

António José Seguro (IND) 5.5%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE
Market icon

Luís Marques Mendes (PSD)

$274,198 Vol.

54%

Market icon

Henrique Gouveia e Melo (IND)

$130,484 Vol.

28%

Market icon

André Ventura (CH)

$334,576 Vol.

8%

Market icon

António José Seguro (IND)

$118,248 Vol.

6%

Market icon

João Cotrim Figueiredo (IL)

$148,805 Vol.

5%

Market icon

Rui Moreira (IND)

$204,523 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Catarina Martins (BE)

$167,097 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Raul Perestrello (IND)

$7,491,362 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Paulo Portas (CDS)

$114,446 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Aristides Teixeira (IND)

$4,715,689 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Tim Vieira (IND)

$158,797 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Joana Amaral Dias (ADN)

$107,655 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

André Pestana (IND)

$1,451,449 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Orlando Cruz (IND)

$120,043 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Manuela Magno (IND)

$124,976 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Pedro Tinoco de Faria (IND)

$92,422 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Vitorino Silva (IND)

$94,121 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Ângela Maryah (IND)

$3,083,000 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

António Filipe (PCP)

$3,921,767 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

José Cardoso (PLS)

$2,668,550 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Pedro Passos Coelho (PSD)

$81,084 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Jorge Pinto

$18,225 Vol.

<1%

About

Volume
$25,453,401
End Date
Jan 25, 2026
Created At
Aug 29, 2025, 7:00 PM