Portugal Presidential Election

Name: Portugal Presidential Election
Start: 2026-02-08T14:00:00.000Z
End: 2026-02-08T14:00:00.000Z

António José Seguro (IND) 99.0%

André Ventura (CH) <1%

João Cotrim Figueiredo (IL) <1%

Rui Moreira (IND) <1%

$133,167,993 Vol.

Jan 25, 2026

António José Seguro (IND)
$6,299,953 Vol.
99%

André Ventura (CH)
$17,843,831 Vol.
1%

João Cotrim Figueiredo (IL)
$4,102,107 Vol.
<1%

Rui Moreira (IND)
$4,037,853 Vol.
<1%

Paulo Portas (CDS)
$3,838,849 Vol.
<1%

Catarina Martins (BE)
$3,266,956 Vol.
<1%

Tim Vieira (IND)
$360,281 Vol.
<1%

Joana Amaral Dias (ADN)
$6,003,994 Vol.
<1%

André Pestana (IND)
$1,875,020 Vol.
<1%

Orlando Cruz (IND)
$813,463 Vol.
<1%

Aristides Teixeira (IND)
$9,129,551 Vol.
<1%

Manuela Magno (IND)
$3,476,295 Vol.
<1%

Luís Marques Mendes (PSD)
$4,146,476 Vol.
<1%

Pedro Tinoco de Faria (IND)
$8,706,168 Vol.
<1%

Henrique Gouveia e Melo (IND)
$2,933,789 Vol.
<1%

Vitorino Silva (IND)
$4,143,491 Vol.
<1%

Ângela Maryah (IND)
$7,078,441 Vol.
<1%

António Filipe (PCP)
$7,184,027 Vol.
<1%

Raul Perestrello (IND)
$18,905,389 Vol.
<1%

José Cardoso (PLS)
$8,448,383 Vol.
<1%

Pedro Passos Coelho (PSD)
$4,120,614 Vol.
<1%

Jorge Pinto
$6,453,061 Vol.
<1%

Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Portugal on 18 or 25 January 2026, with a possible second round on 8 or 15 February 2026. A second round will be held if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Portuguese government, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (https://www.cne.pt/).

Beware of external links.

Politics·Global Elections

Portugal Presidential Election

António José Seguro (IND) 99.0%

André Ventura (CH) <1%

João Cotrim Figueiredo (IL) <1%

Rui Moreira (IND) <1%

$133,167,993 Vol.

Jan 25, 2026

António José Seguro (IND)

$6,299,953 Vol.

99%

André Ventura (CH)

$17,843,831 Vol.

João Cotrim Figueiredo (IL)

$4,102,107 Vol.

<1%

Rui Moreira (IND)

$4,037,853 Vol.

<1%

Paulo Portas (CDS)

$3,838,849 Vol.

<1%

Catarina Martins (BE)

$3,266,956 Vol.

<1%

Tim Vieira (IND)

$360,281 Vol.

<1%

Joana Amaral Dias (ADN)

$6,003,994 Vol.

<1%

André Pestana (IND)

$1,875,020 Vol.

<1%

Orlando Cruz (IND)

$813,463 Vol.

<1%

Aristides Teixeira (IND)

$9,129,551 Vol.

<1%

Manuela Magno (IND)

$3,476,295 Vol.

<1%

Luís Marques Mendes (PSD)

$4,146,476 Vol.

<1%

Pedro Tinoco de Faria (IND)

$8,706,168 Vol.

<1%

Henrique Gouveia e Melo (IND)

$2,933,789 Vol.

<1%

Vitorino Silva (IND)

$4,143,491 Vol.

<1%

Ângela Maryah (IND)

$7,078,441 Vol.

<1%

António Filipe (PCP)

$7,184,027 Vol.

<1%

Raul Perestrello (IND)

$18,905,389 Vol.

<1%

José Cardoso (PLS)

$8,448,383 Vol.

<1%

Pedro Passos Coelho (PSD)

$4,120,614 Vol.

<1%

Jorge Pinto

$6,453,061 Vol.

<1%

Will António José Seguro win the second round by 30–40%?

51%

Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election be between 48% and 50%?

30%

Will Seguro win all of Portugal's districts?

83%

Beware of external links.

Portugal Presidential Election

António José Seguro (IND)$6,299,953 Vol.99%Buy Yes99.1¢Buy No1.0¢

André Ventura (CH)$17,843,831 Vol.1%Buy Yes1.0¢Buy No99.1¢

João Cotrim Figueiredo (IL)$4,102,107 Vol.<1%Buy Yes0.1¢Buy No0.0¢

Rui Moreira (IND)$4,037,853 Vol.<1%Buy Yes0.1¢Buy No0.0¢

Paulo Portas (CDS)$3,838,849 Vol.<1%Buy Yes0.1¢Buy No0.0¢

Catarina Martins (BE)$3,266,956 Vol.<1%Buy Yes0.1¢Buy No0.0¢

Tim Vieira (IND)$360,281 Vol.<1%Buy Yes0.1¢Buy No0.0¢

Joana Amaral Dias (ADN)$6,003,994 Vol.<1%Buy Yes0.1¢Buy No0.0¢

André Pestana (IND)$1,875,020 Vol.<1%Buy Yes0.1¢Buy No0.0¢

Orlando Cruz (IND)$813,463 Vol.<1%Buy Yes0.1¢Buy No0.0¢

Aristides Teixeira (IND)$9,129,551 Vol.<1%Buy Yes0.1¢Buy No0.0¢

Manuela Magno (IND)$3,476,295 Vol.<1%Buy Yes0.1¢Buy No0.0¢

Luís Marques Mendes (PSD)$4,146,476 Vol.<1%Buy Yes0.1¢Buy No0.0¢

Pedro Tinoco de Faria (IND)$8,706,168 Vol.<1%Buy Yes0.1¢Buy No0.0¢

Henrique Gouveia e Melo (IND)$2,933,789 Vol.<1%Buy Yes0.1¢Buy No0.0¢

Vitorino Silva (IND)$4,143,491 Vol.<1%Buy Yes0.1¢Buy No0.0¢

Ângela Maryah (IND)$7,078,441 Vol.<1%Buy Yes0.1¢Buy No0.0¢

António Filipe (PCP)$7,184,027 Vol.<1%Buy Yes0.1¢Buy No0.0¢

Raul Perestrello (IND)$18,905,389 Vol.<1%Buy Yes0.1¢Buy No0.0¢

José Cardoso (PLS)$8,448,383 Vol.<1%Buy Yes0.1¢Buy No0.0¢

Pedro Passos Coelho (PSD)$4,120,614 Vol.<1%Buy Yes0.1¢Buy No0.0¢

Jorge Pinto$6,453,061 Vol.<1%Buy Yes0.1¢Buy No0.0¢

Portugal Presidential Election

Related

António José Seguro (IND)
$6,299,953 Vol.
99%

André Ventura (CH)
$17,843,831 Vol.
1%

João Cotrim Figueiredo (IL)
$4,102,107 Vol.
<1%

Rui Moreira (IND)
$4,037,853 Vol.
<1%

Paulo Portas (CDS)
$3,838,849 Vol.
<1%

Catarina Martins (BE)
$3,266,956 Vol.
<1%

Tim Vieira (IND)
$360,281 Vol.
<1%

Joana Amaral Dias (ADN)
$6,003,994 Vol.
<1%

André Pestana (IND)
$1,875,020 Vol.
<1%

Orlando Cruz (IND)
$813,463 Vol.
<1%

Aristides Teixeira (IND)
$9,129,551 Vol.
<1%

Manuela Magno (IND)
$3,476,295 Vol.
<1%

Luís Marques Mendes (PSD)
$4,146,476 Vol.
<1%

Pedro Tinoco de Faria (IND)
$8,706,168 Vol.
<1%

Henrique Gouveia e Melo (IND)
$2,933,789 Vol.
<1%

Vitorino Silva (IND)
$4,143,491 Vol.
<1%

Ângela Maryah (IND)
$7,078,441 Vol.
<1%

António Filipe (PCP)
$7,184,027 Vol.
<1%

Raul Perestrello (IND)
$18,905,389 Vol.
<1%

José Cardoso (PLS)
$8,448,383 Vol.
<1%

Pedro Passos Coelho (PSD)
$4,120,614 Vol.
<1%

Jorge Pinto
$6,453,061 Vol.
<1%