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Turnout in Portugal Presidential Election Second Round

Market icon

Turnout in Portugal Presidential Election Second Round

50-52% 100.0%

<46% <1%

46-48% <1%

48-50% <1%

Polymarket

$1,070,039 Vol.

50-52% 100.0%

<46% <1%

46-48% <1%

48-50% <1%

Polymarket

$1,070,039 Vol.

<46%

$229,146 Vol.

No

46-48%

$82,082 Vol.

No

48-50%

$290,614 Vol.

No

50-52%

$204,636 Vol.

Yes

52-54%

$122,245 Vol.

No

54-56%

$58,188 Vol.

No

56%+

$83,128 Vol.

No

Second-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Portugal on February 8, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the second-round turnout percentage, calculated as “Total votantes” divided by “Total inscritos”

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the results of the election aren’t known by May 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

This market will resolve based on the result of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Portuguese government, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (https://www.cne.pt/).
Volume
$1,070,039
End Date
Feb 8, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 21, 2026, 10:44 AM ET
Second-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Portugal on February 8, 2026. This market will resolve according to the second-round turnout percentage, calculated as “Total votantes” divided by “Total inscritos” If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the election aren’t known by May 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market will resolve based on the result of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Portuguese government, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (https://www.cne.pt/).

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Turnout in Portugal Presidential Election Second Round" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "50-52%" at 100%, followed by "<46%" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Turnout in Portugal Presidential Election Second Round" has generated $1.1 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 21, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Turnout in Portugal Presidential Election Second Round," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Turnout in Portugal Presidential Election Second Round" is "50-52%" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "<46%" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Turnout in Portugal Presidential Election Second Round" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.