Gregory Meeks holds a commanding lead in the NY-05 House race due to the district's deep Democratic tilt in Southeast Queens and his long incumbency since 1998, reinforced by an uncontested June 2026 Democratic primary and substantial fundraising exceeding $1.7 million. Nonpartisan ratings from the Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others classify the seat as solidly or safely Democratic, reflecting consistent historical margins above 70 percent. Challenger George Marsh advanced unopposed in the Republican primary but shows minimal campaign activity or resources. Trader consensus reflects these structural barriers, though unforeseen developments such as major scandals, health events, or national political realignments before November 3 could still alter the outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNY-05 House Election Winner
NY-05 House Election Winner
$63,900 Vol.
$63,900 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Gregory Meeks (D)
97%
George Marsh (R)
1%
$63,900 Vol.
$63,900 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Gregory Meeks (D)
$21,390 Vol.
97%
George Marsh (R)
$42,510 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Gregory Meeks holds a commanding lead in the NY-05 House race due to the district's deep Democratic tilt in Southeast Queens and his long incumbency since 1998, reinforced by an uncontested June 2026 Democratic primary and substantial fundraising exceeding $1.7 million. Nonpartisan ratings from the Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others classify the seat as solidly or safely Democratic, reflecting consistent historical margins above 70 percent. Challenger George Marsh advanced unopposed in the Republican primary but shows minimal campaign activity or resources. Trader consensus reflects these structural barriers, though unforeseen developments such as major scandals, health events, or national political realignments before November 3 could still alter the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
Volume
$63,900End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2f5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Gregory Meeks holds a commanding lead in the NY-05 House race due to the district's deep Democratic tilt in Southeast Queens and his long incumbency since 1998, reinforced by an uncontested June 2026 Democratic primary and substantial fundraising exceeding $1.7 million. Nonpartisan ratings from the Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others classify the seat as solidly or safely Democratic, reflecting consistent historical margins above 70 percent. Challenger George Marsh advanced unopposed in the Republican primary but shows minimal campaign activity or resources. Trader consensus reflects these structural barriers, though unforeseen developments such as major scandals, health events, or national political realignments before November 3 could still alter the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$63,900End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2f5e3684c...Gregory Meeks holds a commanding lead in the NY-05 House race due to the district's deep Democratic tilt in Southeast Queens and his long incumbency since 1998, reinforced by an uncontested June 2026 Democratic primary and substantial fundraising exceeding $1.7 million. Nonpartisan ratings from the Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others classify the seat as solidly or safely Democratic, reflecting consistent historical margins above 70 percent. Challenger George Marsh advanced unopposed in the Republican primary but shows minimal campaign activity or resources. Trader consensus reflects these structural barriers, though unforeseen developments such as major scandals, health events, or national political realignments before November 3 could still alter the outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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