Gregory Meeks, the longtime Democratic incumbent first elected in 1998, holds a commanding position in the November 3, 2026, general election for New York’s 5th Congressional District. The Southeast Queens district, encompassing areas such as Jamaica and the Rockaways, has delivered consistent Democratic margins exceeding 70 percent in recent cycles, including Meeks’s 72.9 percent share in 2024. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting the district’s partisan baseline and Meeks’s uncontested June primary. His substantial fundraising advantage exceeds $1.7 million with strong cash on hand, while Republican nominee George Marsh reports no receipts. Trader consensus aligns with this structural advantage, though late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or national partisan shift could still alter outcomes before Election Day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNY-05 House Election Winner
NY-05 House Election Winner
$63,900 Vol.
$63,900 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Gregory Meeks (D)
97%
George Marsh (R)
1%
$63,900 Vol.
$63,900 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Gregory Meeks (D)
$21,390 Vol.
97%
George Marsh (R)
$42,510 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Gregory Meeks, the longtime Democratic incumbent first elected in 1998, holds a commanding position in the November 3, 2026, general election for New York’s 5th Congressional District. The Southeast Queens district, encompassing areas such as Jamaica and the Rockaways, has delivered consistent Democratic margins exceeding 70 percent in recent cycles, including Meeks’s 72.9 percent share in 2024. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting the district’s partisan baseline and Meeks’s uncontested June primary. His substantial fundraising advantage exceeds $1.7 million with strong cash on hand, while Republican nominee George Marsh reports no receipts. Trader consensus aligns with this structural advantage, though late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or national partisan shift could still alter outcomes before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
Volume
$63,900End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2f5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Gregory Meeks, the longtime Democratic incumbent first elected in 1998, holds a commanding position in the November 3, 2026, general election for New York’s 5th Congressional District. The Southeast Queens district, encompassing areas such as Jamaica and the Rockaways, has delivered consistent Democratic margins exceeding 70 percent in recent cycles, including Meeks’s 72.9 percent share in 2024. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting the district’s partisan baseline and Meeks’s uncontested June primary. His substantial fundraising advantage exceeds $1.7 million with strong cash on hand, while Republican nominee George Marsh reports no receipts. Trader consensus aligns with this structural advantage, though late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or national partisan shift could still alter outcomes before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$63,900End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2f5e3684c...Gregory Meeks, the longtime Democratic incumbent first elected in 1998, holds a commanding position in the November 3, 2026, general election for New York’s 5th Congressional District. The Southeast Queens district, encompassing areas such as Jamaica and the Rockaways, has delivered consistent Democratic margins exceeding 70 percent in recent cycles, including Meeks’s 72.9 percent share in 2024. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting the district’s partisan baseline and Meeks’s uncontested June primary. His substantial fundraising advantage exceeds $1.7 million with strong cash on hand, while Republican nominee George Marsh reports no receipts. Trader consensus aligns with this structural advantage, though late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or national partisan shift could still alter outcomes before Election Day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions