Next leader out of power before 2027?
$845,642 Vol.
Schoof - Netherlands PM 50%
Khamenei - Iran Supreme Leader 28%
Lecornu - France PM 4.6%
Rodríguez - Venezuela Acting President 3.2%
Schoof - Netherlands PM
$36,556 Vol.
50%
Schoof - Netherlands PM
$36,556 Vol.
50%
Khamenei - Iran Supreme Leader
$30,968 Vol.
28%
Khamenei - Iran Supreme Leader
$30,968 Vol.
28%
Lecornu - France PM
$32,649 Vol.
5%
Lecornu - France PM
$32,649 Vol.
5%
Rodríguez - Venezuela Acting President
$37,235 Vol.
3%
Rodríguez - Venezuela Acting President
$37,235 Vol.
3%
Zelenskyy - Ukraine President
$39,813 Vol.
2%
Zelenskyy - Ukraine President
$39,813 Vol.
2%
Takaichi - Japan PM
$25,374 Vol.
2%
Takaichi - Japan PM
$25,374 Vol.
2%
Starmer - UK PM
$26,494 Vol.
2%
Starmer - UK PM
$26,494 Vol.
2%
Netanyahu - Israel PM
$27,288 Vol.
1%
Netanyahu - Israel PM
$27,288 Vol.
1%
Trump - USA President
$44,475 Vol.
1%
Trump - USA President
$44,475 Vol.
1%
Díaz-Canel - Cuba President
$43,389 Vol.
1%
Díaz-Canel - Cuba President
$43,389 Vol.
1%
Abbas - President of Palestine
$22,632 Vol.
1%
Abbas - President of Palestine
$22,632 Vol.
1%
Putin - Russia President
$35,232 Vol.
1%
Putin - Russia President
$35,232 Vol.
1%
Orbán - Hungary PM
$28,174 Vol.
1%
Orbán - Hungary PM
$28,174 Vol.
1%
Sánchez - Spanish PM
$25,895 Vol.
1%
Sánchez - Spanish PM
$25,895 Vol.
1%
Petro - Colombia President
$32,439 Vol.
1%
Petro - Colombia President
$32,439 Vol.
1%
Lula da Silva - Brazil President
$28,489 Vol.
1%
Lula da Silva - Brazil President
$28,489 Vol.
1%
None before 2027
$27,186 Vol.
1%
None before 2027
$27,186 Vol.
1%
Macron - France President
$20,770 Vol.
<1%
Macron - France President
$20,770 Vol.
<1%
Merz - German Chancellor
$27,205 Vol.
<1%
Merz - German Chancellor
$27,205 Vol.
<1%
al-Sharaa - Syria President
$26,480 Vol.
<1%
al-Sharaa - Syria President
$26,480 Vol.
<1%
Kim - Supreme Leader of North Korea
$24,450 Vol.
<1%
Kim - Supreme Leader of North Korea
$24,450 Vol.
<1%
Xi - General Secretary of the CCP
$56,630 Vol.
<1%
Xi - General Secretary of the CCP
$56,630 Vol.
<1%
Sheinbaum - Mexico President
$26,105 Vol.
<1%
Sheinbaum - Mexico President
$26,105 Vol.
<1%
Erdoğan - Türkiye President
$21,266 Vol.
<1%
Erdoğan - Türkiye President
$21,266 Vol.
<1%
Milei - Argentina President
$18,171 Vol.
<1%
Milei - Argentina President
$18,171 Vol.
<1%
Albanese - Australia PM
$53,735 Vol.
<1%
Albanese - Australia PM
$53,735 Vol.
<1%
Newsom - California Governor
$26,542 Vol.
<1%
Newsom - California Governor
$26,542 Vol.
<1%
Rules
An announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count.
Additionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market.
If this criteria has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Created At: Jan 5, 2026, 8:12 PM UTC
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...$845,642 Vol.
Next leader out of power before 2027?
Schoof - Netherlands PM 50%
Khamenei - Iran Supreme Leader 28%
Lecornu - France PM 4.6%
Rodríguez - Venezuela Acting President 3.2%
Schoof - Netherlands PM
50%
Khamenei - Iran Supreme Leader
28%
Lecornu - France PM
5%
Rodríguez - Venezuela Acting President
3%
Zelenskyy - Ukraine President
2%
Takaichi - Japan PM
2%
Starmer - UK PM
2%
Netanyahu - Israel PM
1%
Trump - USA President
1%
Díaz-Canel - Cuba President
1%
Abbas - President of Palestine
1%
Putin - Russia President
1%
Orbán - Hungary PM
1%
Sánchez - Spanish PM
1%
Petro - Colombia President
1%
Lula da Silva - Brazil President
1%
None before 2027
1%
Macron - France President
<1%
Merz - German Chancellor
<1%
al-Sharaa - Syria President
<1%
Kim - Supreme Leader of North Korea
<1%
Xi - General Secretary of the CCP
<1%
Sheinbaum - Mexico President
<1%
Erdoğan - Türkiye President
<1%
Milei - Argentina President
<1%
Albanese - Australia PM
<1%
Newsom - California Governor
<1%
About
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...
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