Next leader out of power before 2027?
Schoof - Netherlands PM 83%
Khamenei - Iran Supreme Leader 9%
Díaz-Canel - Cuba President 1.3%
Trump - USA President 1.0%
$4,385,296 Vol.
$4,385,296 Vol.
Schoof - Netherlands PM
$182,688 Vol.
83%
Schoof - Netherlands PM
$182,688 Vol.
83%
Khamenei - Iran Supreme Leader
$190,959 Vol.
9%
Khamenei - Iran Supreme Leader
$190,959 Vol.
9%
Díaz-Canel - Cuba President
$193,323 Vol.
1%
Díaz-Canel - Cuba President
$193,323 Vol.
1%
Trump - USA President
$208,746 Vol.
1%
Trump - USA President
$208,746 Vol.
1%
Zelenskyy - Ukraine President
$152,607 Vol.
1%
Zelenskyy - Ukraine President
$152,607 Vol.
1%
Takaichi - Japan PM
$164,331 Vol.
1%
Takaichi - Japan PM
$164,331 Vol.
1%
Putin - Russia President
$145,658 Vol.
1%
Putin - Russia President
$145,658 Vol.
1%
Sánchez - Spanish PM
$178,584 Vol.
1%
Sánchez - Spanish PM
$178,584 Vol.
1%
Xi - General Secretary of the CCP
$216,020 Vol.
1%
Xi - General Secretary of the CCP
$216,020 Vol.
1%
Lecornu - France PM
$147,389 Vol.
1%
Lecornu - France PM
$147,389 Vol.
1%
Erdoğan - Türkiye President
$148,659 Vol.
1%
Erdoğan - Türkiye President
$148,659 Vol.
1%
Macron - France President
$126,762 Vol.
1%
Macron - France President
$126,762 Vol.
1%
Starmer - UK PM
$141,595 Vol.
<1%
Starmer - UK PM
$141,595 Vol.
<1%
Orbán - Hungary PM
$170,209 Vol.
<1%
Orbán - Hungary PM
$170,209 Vol.
<1%
Abbas - President of Palestine
$140,808 Vol.
<1%
Abbas - President of Palestine
$140,808 Vol.
<1%
Netanyahu - Israel PM
$129,489 Vol.
<1%
Netanyahu - Israel PM
$129,489 Vol.
<1%
None before 2027
$157,150 Vol.
<1%
None before 2027
$157,150 Vol.
<1%
Rodríguez - Venezuela Acting President
$165,228 Vol.
<1%
Rodríguez - Venezuela Acting President
$165,228 Vol.
<1%
Kim - Supreme Leader of North Korea
$140,610 Vol.
<1%
Kim - Supreme Leader of North Korea
$140,610 Vol.
<1%
Lula da Silva - Brazil President
$168,245 Vol.
<1%
Lula da Silva - Brazil President
$168,245 Vol.
<1%
Petro - Colombia President
$151,565 Vol.
<1%
Petro - Colombia President
$151,565 Vol.
<1%
Newsom - California Governor
$168,183 Vol.
<1%
Newsom - California Governor
$168,183 Vol.
<1%
Albanese - Australia PM
$171,717 Vol.
<1%
Albanese - Australia PM
$171,717 Vol.
<1%
Sheinbaum - Mexico President
$163,799 Vol.
<1%
Sheinbaum - Mexico President
$163,799 Vol.
<1%
Merz - German Chancellor
$173,278 Vol.
<1%
Merz - German Chancellor
$173,278 Vol.
<1%
al-Sharaa - Syria President
$139,593 Vol.
<1%
al-Sharaa - Syria President
$139,593 Vol.
<1%
Milei - Argentina President
$148,100 Vol.
<1%
Milei - Argentina President
$148,100 Vol.
<1%
Rules
An announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count.
Additionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market.
If this criteria has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Created At: Jan 5, 2026, 3:12 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Next leader out of power before 2027?
Schoof - Netherlands PM 83%
Khamenei - Iran Supreme Leader 9%
Díaz-Canel - Cuba President 1.3%
Trump - USA President 1.0%
$4,385,296 Vol.
$4,385,296 Vol.
Schoof - Netherlands PM
83%
Khamenei - Iran Supreme Leader
9%
Díaz-Canel - Cuba President
1%
Trump - USA President
1%
Zelenskyy - Ukraine President
1%
Takaichi - Japan PM
1%
Putin - Russia President
1%
Sánchez - Spanish PM
1%
Xi - General Secretary of the CCP
1%
Lecornu - France PM
1%
Erdoğan - Türkiye President
1%
Macron - France President
1%
Starmer - UK PM
<1%
Orbán - Hungary PM
<1%
Abbas - President of Palestine
<1%
Netanyahu - Israel PM
<1%
None before 2027
<1%
Rodríguez - Venezuela Acting President
<1%
Kim - Supreme Leader of North Korea
<1%
Lula da Silva - Brazil President
<1%
Petro - Colombia President
<1%
Newsom - California Governor
<1%
Albanese - Australia PM
<1%
Sheinbaum - Mexico President
<1%
Merz - German Chancellor
<1%
al-Sharaa - Syria President
<1%
Milei - Argentina President
<1%
About
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...
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