Giulio Centenaro's commanding 100% implied probability in the Selvazzano Dentro by-election market stems from official results confirming his landslide victory in the May 2024 runoff, where he garnered over 70% of votes against Antonino Stivanello, backed by a centre-right coalition including Lega and Fratelli d'Italia. Local turnout exceeded expectations, solidifying his lead in the Veneto comune's city council seat contest. Trader consensus reflects this certified outcome from Padua province authorities, with no pending recounts or disputes reported. Realistic challenges would require a successful legal appeal or procedural irregularity claim, though current evidence shows none emerging, underscoring the stability of local electoral finalities.