Incumbent Republican Gov. Joe Lombardo holds a slim edge over Democratic Attorney General Aaron Ford in recent polls, such as the March 27 Noble Predictive Insights survey showing Lombardo at 39% to Ford's 38% amid 23% undecideds and others, mirroring Nevada's battleground status after Lombardo's narrow 2022 win. Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts slightly Democratic at 50.5% versus 49.0% Republican, diverging from the RealClearPolitics average favoring Lombardo by 1.5 points, as high undecideds and national midterm headwinds like voter disapproval of federal economic handling keep the race deadlocked. June 9 primaries could solidify nominees, while endorsements, turnout in Clark County, or shifts in Lombardo's over-50% approval may create separation before the November 3 general election.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated$18,602 Vol.
$18,602 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
51%
Republican
49%
$18,602 Vol.
$18,602 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
$4,076 Vol.
51%
Republican
$14,526 Vol.
49%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nevada gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Gov. Joe Lombardo holds a slim edge over Democratic Attorney General Aaron Ford in recent polls, such as the March 27 Noble Predictive Insights survey showing Lombardo at 39% to Ford's 38% amid 23% undecideds and others, mirroring Nevada's battleground status after Lombardo's narrow 2022 win. Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts slightly Democratic at 50.5% versus 49.0% Republican, diverging from the RealClearPolitics average favoring Lombardo by 1.5 points, as high undecideds and national midterm headwinds like voter disapproval of federal economic handling keep the race deadlocked. June 9 primaries could solidify nominees, while endorsements, turnout in Clark County, or shifts in Lombardo's over-50% approval may create separation before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nevada gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Market Opened: Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
Volume
$18,602End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nevada gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Gov. Joe Lombardo holds a slim edge over Democratic Attorney General Aaron Ford in recent polls, such as the March 27 Noble Predictive Insights survey showing Lombardo at 39% to Ford's 38% amid 23% undecideds and others, mirroring Nevada's battleground status after Lombardo's narrow 2022 win. Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts slightly Democratic at 50.5% versus 49.0% Republican, diverging from the RealClearPolitics average favoring Lombardo by 1.5 points, as high undecideds and national midterm headwinds like voter disapproval of federal economic handling keep the race deadlocked. June 9 primaries could solidify nominees, while endorsements, turnout in Clark County, or shifts in Lombardo's over-50% approval may create separation before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nevada gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$18,602End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Gov. Joe Lombardo holds a slim edge over Democratic Attorney General Aaron Ford in recent polls, such as the March 27 Noble Predictive Insights survey showing Lombardo at 39% to Ford's 38% amid 23% undecideds and others, mirroring Nevada's battleground status after Lombardo's narrow 2022 win. Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts slightly Democratic at 50.5% versus 49.0% Republican, diverging from the RealClearPolitics average favoring Lombardo by 1.5 points, as high undecideds and national midterm headwinds like voter disapproval of federal economic handling keep the race deadlocked. June 9 primaries could solidify nominees, while endorsements, turnout in Clark County, or shifts in Lombardo's over-50% approval may create separation before the November 3 general election.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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