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icon for Nevada Governor Democratic Primary Winner

Nevada Governor Democratic Primary Winner

icon for Nevada Governor Democratic Primary Winner

Nevada Governor Democratic Primary Winner

$20,992 Vol.

Polymarket

$20,992 Vol.

Aaron Ford

$8,431 Vol.

98%

Alexis Hill

$12,561 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Nevada, scheduled to take place on June 9, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Nevada Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Nevada Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Nevada Attorney General Aaron Ford holds a commanding lead in the Democratic primary for governor, scheduled for June 9, 2026, driven by his high statewide name recognition, strong fundraising edge, and structural advantages among Clark County voters who comprise roughly 70 percent of the primary electorate. A December 2025 Change Research poll showed Ford at 48 percent support compared with 13 percent for Washoe County Commissioner Alexis Hill, the primary challenger, underscoring limited voter awareness and organizational reach for other candidates. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these patterns, as Ford’s institutional role and consistent polling margin have consolidated support with little time remaining before ballots are cast. A late surge by Hill or another contender would require rapid shifts in turnout or endorsements that have not materialized in recent weeks.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Nevada, scheduled to take place on June 9, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Nevada Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Nevada Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$20,992
End Date
Jun 9, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 4, 2025, 5:57 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Nevada, scheduled to take place on June 9, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Nevada Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Nevada Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Nevada, scheduled to take place on June 9, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Nevada Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Nevada Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Nevada Attorney General Aaron Ford holds a commanding lead in the Democratic primary for governor, scheduled for June 9, 2026, driven by his high statewide name recognition, strong fundraising edge, and structural advantages among Clark County voters who comprise roughly 70 percent of the primary electorate. A December 2025 Change Research poll showed Ford at 48 percent support compared with 13 percent for Washoe County Commissioner Alexis Hill, the primary challenger, underscoring limited voter awareness and organizational reach for other candidates. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these patterns, as Ford’s institutional role and consistent polling margin have consolidated support with little time remaining before ballots are cast. A late surge by Hill or another contender would require rapid shifts in turnout or endorsements that have not materialized in recent weeks.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Nevada, scheduled to take place on June 9, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Nevada Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Nevada Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$20,992
End Date
Jun 9, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 4, 2025, 5:57 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Nevada, scheduled to take place on June 9, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Nevada Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Nevada Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Nevada Governor Democratic Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Aaron Ford" at 98%, followed by "Alexis Hill" at 2%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 98¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 98% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Nevada Governor Democratic Primary Winner" has generated $21K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 4, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Nevada Governor Democratic Primary Winner," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Nevada Governor Democratic Primary Winner" is "Aaron Ford" at 98%, meaning the market assigns a 98% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Alexis Hill" at 2%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Nevada Governor Democratic Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.