Aaron Ford commands overwhelming trader consensus as the Democratic primary frontrunner for Nevada governor, with implied probabilities near 90% driven by his statewide name recognition as attorney general, a key endorsement from Sen. Catherine Cortez Masto, and record first-quarter fundraising of $1.5 million announced April 6. Recent Change Research polling, even sponsored by challenger Alexis Hill, shows Ford leading 48%-13% among Democratic primary voters, underscoring his dominance ahead of the June 9 contest. Hill, Washoe County Commission chair with a northern Nevada base, trails as a dark horse hampered by fundraising disadvantages and no major debate breakthrough, though a late surge or scandal could narrow the gap.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$14,080 Vol.
$14,080 Vol.
Aaron Ford
90%
Alexis Hill
7%
$14,080 Vol.
$14,080 Vol.
Aaron Ford
90%
Alexis Hill
7%
If no 2026 Nevada Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Nevada Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Market Opened: Dec 4, 2025, 5:57 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Nevada Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Nevada Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Aaron Ford commands overwhelming trader consensus as the Democratic primary frontrunner for Nevada governor, with implied probabilities near 90% driven by his statewide name recognition as attorney general, a key endorsement from Sen. Catherine Cortez Masto, and record first-quarter fundraising of $1.5 million announced April 6. Recent Change Research polling, even sponsored by challenger Alexis Hill, shows Ford leading 48%-13% among Democratic primary voters, underscoring his dominance ahead of the June 9 contest. Hill, Washoe County Commission chair with a northern Nevada base, trails as a dark horse hampered by fundraising disadvantages and no major debate breakthrough, though a late surge or scandal could narrow the gap.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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