Nevada Governor Democratic Primary Winner

Name: Nevada Governor Democratic Primary Winner
Start: 2025-12-04T23:28:54.350Z
End: 2026-06-09T00:00:00.000Z

Politics·Primaries

Nevada Governor Democratic Primary Winner

$11,845 Vol.

Jun 9, 2026

Aaron Ford

$2,904 Vol.

90%

Alexis Hill

$8,941 Vol.

$11,845 Vol.

Jun 9, 2026

Aaron Ford

$2,904 Vol.

90%

Alexis Hill

$8,941 Vol.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Nevada, scheduled to take place on June 9, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Nevada Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Nevada Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Aaron Ford's commanding lead in the Nevada Democratic gubernatorial primary market stems from his role as state Senate Majority Leader, robust fundraising, and dominant polling among Democrats for the 2026 race. Recent surveys, including a late 2024 poll showing Ford at over 50% support with no close rivals, have solidified trader consensus at 89.5%, reflecting his institutional backing and name recognition in a low-competition field. State Senator Alexis Hill trails at 5.5%, buoyed by her legislative profile but lacking Ford's momentum amid sparse challengers; other potential entrants like Elke Hall have faltered. Upcoming candidate filings and early endorsements could shift dynamics ahead of the June 2026 primary.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated Mar 22, 2026, 3:25 AM UTC

Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?

53%

Will Deb Haaland win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Democratic primary election?

76%

Will Michael Bennet win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?

81%

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Nevada Governor Democratic Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Aaron Ford" at 90%, followed by "Alexis Hill" at 6%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 90¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 90% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Nevada Governor Democratic Primary Winner" has generated $11.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 4, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Nevada Governor Democratic Primary Winner," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Nevada Governor Democratic Primary Winner" is "Aaron Ford" at 90%, meaning the market assigns a 90% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Alexis Hill" at 6%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Nevada Governor Democratic Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

Yes. You don't need to trade to stay informed. This page serves as a live tracker for "Nevada Governor Democratic Primary Winner." The outcome probabilities update in real-time as new trades come in. You can bookmark this page and check the comments section to see what other traders are saying. You can also use the time-range filters on the chart to see how the odds have shifted over time. It's a free, real-time window into what the market expects to happen.

Polymarket odds are set by real traders putting real money behind their beliefs, which tends to surface accurate predictions. With $11.8K traded on “Nevada Governor Democratic Primary Winner,” these prices aggregate the collective knowledge and conviction of thousands of participants — often outperforming polls, expert forecasts, and traditional surveys. Prediction markets like Polymarket have a strong track record of accuracy, especially as events approach their resolution date. For example, Polymarket has a one month accuracy score of 94%. For the latest stats on Polymarket’s prediction accuracy, visit the accuracy page on Polymarket.

To place your first trade on "Nevada Governor Democratic Primary Winner," sign up for a free Polymarket account and fund it using crypto, a credit or debit card, or a bank transfer. Once your account is funded, return to this page, select the outcome you want to trade, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If you're new to prediction markets, click the "How it works" link at the top of any Polymarket page for a quick step-by-step walkthrough of how trading works.

On Polymarket, the price of each outcome represents the market's implied probability. A price of 90¢ for "Aaron Ford" in the "Nevada Governor Democratic Primary Winner" market means traders collectively believe there is roughly a 90% chance that "Aaron Ford" will be the correct result. If you buy "Yes" shares at 90¢ and the outcome is correct, you receive $1.00 per share — a profit of 10¢ per share. If incorrect, those shares are worth $0.

The "Nevada Governor Democratic Primary Winner" market is scheduled to resolve on or around Jun 9, 2026. This means trading will remain open and the odds will continue to shift as new information emerges until that date. The exact resolution timing depends on when the official result becomes available, as outlined in the "Rules" section on this page.

The "Nevada Governor Democratic Primary Winner" market was recently created. Be one of the first to share your analysis by posting a comment below, or check back as the market grows to read what other traders think. You can also view the "Activity" tab for a real-time feed of recent trades.

Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge of real-world events. Traders buy and sell shares on outcomes for topics ranging from politics and elections to crypto, finance, sports, tech, and culture, including markets like "Nevada Governor Democratic Primary Winner." Prices reflect real-time, crowd-sourced probabilities backed by financial conviction, often providing faster and more accurate signals than polls, pundits, or traditional surveys.

Nevada Governor Democratic Primary Winner

Nevada Governor Democratic Primary Winner

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