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Politics·Primaries

Nevada Governor Democratic Primary Winner

Market icon
Politics·Primaries

Nevada Governor Democratic Primary Winner

$14,723 Vol.

Polymarket

$14,723 Vol.

Aaron Ford

$4,291 Vol.

89%

Alexis Hill

$10,431 Vol.

5%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Nevada, scheduled to take place on June 9, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Nevada Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Nevada Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Aaron Ford's statewide name recognition as attorney general, endorsements from U.S. Senators Catherine Cortez Masto and Jacky Rosen, and a record $1.5 million fundraising haul in Q1 2026 have solidified trader consensus at 89% implied probability for him to win Nevada's Democratic gubernatorial primary on June 9. A recent Change Research poll sponsored by challenger Alexis Hill shows Ford leading 48%-13% among primary voters, underscoring his dominance despite undecideds. Hill, Washoe County Commission chair, trails with limited resources and regional appeal, appealing mainly as an anti-establishment option but lacking broader traction. With two months until the primary, late endorsements or debates could shift dynamics, though Ford has declined joint appearances.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Nevada, scheduled to take place on June 9, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Nevada Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Nevada Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$14,723
End Date
Jun 9, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 4, 2025, 5:57 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Nevada, scheduled to take place on June 9, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Nevada Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Nevada Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Nevada, scheduled to take place on June 9, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Nevada Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Nevada Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Aaron Ford's statewide name recognition as attorney general, endorsements from U.S. Senators Catherine Cortez Masto and Jacky Rosen, and a record $1.5 million fundraising haul in Q1 2026 have solidified trader consensus at 89% implied probability for him to win Nevada's Democratic gubernatorial primary on June 9. A recent Change Research poll sponsored by challenger Alexis Hill shows Ford leading 48%-13% among primary voters, underscoring his dominance despite undecideds. Hill, Washoe County Commission chair, trails with limited resources and regional appeal, appealing mainly as an anti-establishment option but lacking broader traction. With two months until the primary, late endorsements or debates could shift dynamics, though Ford has declined joint appearances.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Nevada, scheduled to take place on June 9, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Nevada Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Nevada Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$14,723
End Date
Jun 9, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 4, 2025, 5:57 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Nevada, scheduled to take place on June 9, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Nevada Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Nevada Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Nevada Governor Democratic Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Aaron Ford" at 89%, followed by "Alexis Hill" at 5%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 89¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 89% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Nevada Governor Democratic Primary Winner" has generated $14.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 4, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Nevada Governor Democratic Primary Winner," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Nevada Governor Democratic Primary Winner" is "Aaron Ford" at 89%, meaning the market assigns a 89% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Alexis Hill" at 5%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Nevada Governor Democratic Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.