President-elect Donald Trump has not nominated Senator Markwayne Mullin (R-OK) for Department of Homeland Security (DHS) Secretary, instead announcing South Dakota Governor Kristi Noem for the position on November 13, 2024—the most recent major development shaping trader consensus. Mullin remains in the Senate, chairing the Committee on Indian Affairs, with no public statements or reports indicating consideration for the cabinet role. Confirmation for any DHS nominee requires sequential steps: committee hearings by the Senate Homeland Security and Governmental Affairs Committee, committee vote, and full Senate approval by simple majority, typically unfolding after the new Congress convenes on January 3, 2025. Absent a nomination change—withdrawals are rare—structural barriers favor the status quo, though late-breaking announcements or scandals could prompt shifts ahead of inauguration.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated$26,107 Vol.
Apr 30, 2026
March 31
Yes
April 30
Yes
$26,107 Vol.
March 31
$0 Vol.
Yes
April 30
$26,107 Vol.
Yes
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Markwayne Mullin is confirmed as the United States Secretary of Homeland Security by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If Markwayne Mullin is formally nominated for the role, and his nomination is then formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects the nomination, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.
The Senate must confirm Markwayne Mullin as Secretary of Homeland Security for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments or assumption of the position in an acting capacity without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President-elect Donald Trump has not nominated Senator Markwayne Mullin (R-OK) for Department of Homeland Security (DHS) Secretary, instead announcing South Dakota Governor Kristi Noem for the position on November 13, 2024—the most recent major development shaping trader consensus. Mullin remains in the Senate, chairing the Committee on Indian Affairs, with no public statements or reports indicating consideration for the cabinet role. Confirmation for any DHS nominee requires sequential steps: committee hearings by the Senate Homeland Security and Governmental Affairs Committee, committee vote, and full Senate approval by simple majority, typically unfolding after the new Congress convenes on January 3, 2025. Absent a nomination change—withdrawals are rare—structural barriers favor the status quo, though late-breaking announcements or scandals could prompt shifts ahead of inauguration.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Markwayne Mullin is confirmed as the United States Secretary of Homeland Security by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If Markwayne Mullin is formally nominated for the role, and his nomination is then formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects the nomination, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.
The Senate must confirm Markwayne Mullin as Secretary of Homeland Security for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments or assumption of the position in an acting capacity without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Markwayne Mullin is formally nominated for the role, and his nomination is then formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects the nomination, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.
The Senate must confirm Markwayne Mullin as Secretary of Homeland Security for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments or assumption of the position in an acting capacity without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Mar 5, 2026, 5:06 PM ET
Volume
$26,107End Date
Apr 30, 2026Market Opened
Mar 5, 2026, 5:06 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Markwayne Mullin is confirmed as the United States Secretary of Homeland Security by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If Markwayne Mullin is formally nominated for the role, and his nomination is then formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects the nomination, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.
The Senate must confirm Markwayne Mullin as Secretary of Homeland Security for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments or assumption of the position in an acting capacity without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President-elect Donald Trump has not nominated Senator Markwayne Mullin (R-OK) for Department of Homeland Security (DHS) Secretary, instead announcing South Dakota Governor Kristi Noem for the position on November 13, 2024—the most recent major development shaping trader consensus. Mullin remains in the Senate, chairing the Committee on Indian Affairs, with no public statements or reports indicating consideration for the cabinet role. Confirmation for any DHS nominee requires sequential steps: committee hearings by the Senate Homeland Security and Governmental Affairs Committee, committee vote, and full Senate approval by simple majority, typically unfolding after the new Congress convenes on January 3, 2025. Absent a nomination change—withdrawals are rare—structural barriers favor the status quo, though late-breaking announcements or scandals could prompt shifts ahead of inauguration.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Markwayne Mullin is confirmed as the United States Secretary of Homeland Security by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If Markwayne Mullin is formally nominated for the role, and his nomination is then formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects the nomination, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.
The Senate must confirm Markwayne Mullin as Secretary of Homeland Security for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments or assumption of the position in an acting capacity without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Markwayne Mullin is formally nominated for the role, and his nomination is then formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects the nomination, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.
The Senate must confirm Markwayne Mullin as Secretary of Homeland Security for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments or assumption of the position in an acting capacity without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$26,107End Date
Apr 30, 2026Market Opened
Mar 5, 2026, 5:06 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
President-elect Donald Trump has not nominated Senator Markwayne Mullin (R-OK) for Department of Homeland Security (DHS) Secretary, instead announcing South Dakota Governor Kristi Noem for the position on November 13, 2024—the most recent major development shaping trader consensus. Mullin remains in the Senate, chairing the Committee on Indian Affairs, with no public statements or reports indicating consideration for the cabinet role. Confirmation for any DHS nominee requires sequential steps: committee hearings by the Senate Homeland Security and Governmental Affairs Committee, committee vote, and full Senate approval by simple majority, typically unfolding after the new Congress convenes on January 3, 2025. Absent a nomination change—withdrawals are rare—structural barriers favor the status quo, though late-breaking announcements or scandals could prompt shifts ahead of inauguration.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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