Trader consensus on Polymarket narrowly favors 10-14 posts (47%) from Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's @khamenei_ir X account during March 31-April 7, with 15-19 (45%) a close second, highlighting tight uncertainty over the post-martyrdom posting rhythm amid Iran's supreme leader transition. Following Khamenei's assassination in US-Israeli strikes on February 28, the account—now managed by his office—has maintained a sparse cadence of 2-3 main posts per week, including recent archival reposts on April 3 ("savagery in the West") and April 1 (defiance of US threats), consistent with March 27-28 and 26 outputs. Historical pre-death averages of 5-15 weekly statements fuel optimism for acceleration, while ongoing regional tensions or Assembly of Experts' successor announcements could boost volume and tip the balance before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedKhamenei # posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?
Khamenei # posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?
10-14 47%
15-19 45%
20-24 13.4%
25-29 6.0%
$17,778 Vol.
$17,778 Vol.
Apr 7, 2026
5-9
4%
10-14
47%
15-19
45%
20-24
18%
25-29
6%
30-34
1%
35-39
5%
40-44
<1%
45-49
<1%
50-54
<1%
55-59
<1%
60+
<1%
10-14 47%
15-19 45%
20-24 13.4%
25-29 6.0%
$17,778 Vol.
$17,778 Vol.
Apr 7, 2026
5-9
$4,994 Vol.
4%
10-14
$1,172 Vol.
47%
15-19
$1,019 Vol.
45%
20-24
$1,624 Vol.
18%
25-29
$1,467 Vol.
6%
30-34
$522 Vol.
1%
35-39
$659 Vol.
5%
40-44
$639 Vol.
<1%
45-49
$680 Vol.
<1%
50-54
$679 Vol.
<1%
55-59
$435 Vol.
<1%
60+
$960 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between March 31, 12:00 PM ET and April 7, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket narrowly favors 10-14 posts (47%) from Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's @khamenei_ir X account during March 31-April 7, with 15-19 (45%) a close second, highlighting tight uncertainty over the post-martyrdom posting rhythm amid Iran's supreme leader transition. Following Khamenei's assassination in US-Israeli strikes on February 28, the account—now managed by his office—has maintained a sparse cadence of 2-3 main posts per week, including recent archival reposts on April 3 ("savagery in the West") and April 1 (defiance of US threats), consistent with March 27-28 and 26 outputs. Historical pre-death averages of 5-15 weekly statements fuel optimism for acceleration, while ongoing regional tensions or Assembly of Experts' successor announcements could boost volume and tip the balance before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between March 31, 12:00 PM ET and April 7, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Mar 28, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Volume
$17,778End Date
Apr 7, 2026Market Opened
Mar 28, 2026, 12:01 AM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between March 31, 12:00 PM ET and April 7, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket narrowly favors 10-14 posts (47%) from Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's @khamenei_ir X account during March 31-April 7, with 15-19 (45%) a close second, highlighting tight uncertainty over the post-martyrdom posting rhythm amid Iran's supreme leader transition. Following Khamenei's assassination in US-Israeli strikes on February 28, the account—now managed by his office—has maintained a sparse cadence of 2-3 main posts per week, including recent archival reposts on April 3 ("savagery in the West") and April 1 (defiance of US threats), consistent with March 27-28 and 26 outputs. Historical pre-death averages of 5-15 weekly statements fuel optimism for acceleration, while ongoing regional tensions or Assembly of Experts' successor announcements could boost volume and tip the balance before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between March 31, 12:00 PM ET and April 7, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$17,778End Date
Apr 7, 2026Market Opened
Mar 28, 2026, 12:01 AM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket narrowly favors 10-14 posts (47%) from Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's @khamenei_ir X account during March 31-April 7, with 15-19 (45%) a close second, highlighting tight uncertainty over the post-martyrdom posting rhythm amid Iran's supreme leader transition. Following Khamenei's assassination in US-Israeli strikes on February 28, the account—now managed by his office—has maintained a sparse cadence of 2-3 main posts per week, including recent archival reposts on April 3 ("savagery in the West") and April 1 (defiance of US threats), consistent with March 27-28 and 26 outputs. Historical pre-death averages of 5-15 weekly statements fuel optimism for acceleration, while ongoing regional tensions or Assembly of Experts' successor announcements could boost volume and tip the balance before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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