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Politics·House Primary

IA-01 Democratic Primary Winner

Market icon
Politics·House Primary

IA-01 Democratic Primary Winner

Christina Bohannan 96.5%

Taylor Wettach 2.1%

Travis Terrell 1.8%

Polymarket

$10,051 Vol.

Christina Bohannan 96.5%

Taylor Wettach 2.1%

Travis Terrell 1.8%

Polymarket

$10,051 Vol.

Christina Bohannan

$7,643 Vol.

97%

Taylor Wettach

$0 Vol.

2%

Travis Terrell

$2,408 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the IA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Christina Bohannan's commanding 96.5% trader consensus in the IA-01 Democratic primary stems from her dominant Q1 2026 fundraising haul of $2 million, reported April 1, dwarfing rivals and fueling extensive grassroots canvassing across the district. Her 2024 near-victory over incumbent Republican Mariannette Miller-Meeks provides strong name recognition and party infrastructure advantages ahead of the June 2 closed primary. Taylor Wettach's January withdrawal to pursue state auditor narrowed the field, leaving Travis Terrell as the lone notable challenger with minimal resources. While a late scandal, Terrell endorsement surge, or turnout anomaly could theoretically disrupt, structural barriers like incumbency-like momentum and cash-on-hand supremacy make upsets improbable.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the IA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$10,051
End Date
Jun 2, 2026
Market Opened
Feb 25, 2026, 6:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the IA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the IA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Christina Bohannan's commanding 96.5% trader consensus in the IA-01 Democratic primary stems from her dominant Q1 2026 fundraising haul of $2 million, reported April 1, dwarfing rivals and fueling extensive grassroots canvassing across the district. Her 2024 near-victory over incumbent Republican Mariannette Miller-Meeks provides strong name recognition and party infrastructure advantages ahead of the June 2 closed primary. Taylor Wettach's January withdrawal to pursue state auditor narrowed the field, leaving Travis Terrell as the lone notable challenger with minimal resources. While a late scandal, Terrell endorsement surge, or turnout anomaly could theoretically disrupt, structural barriers like incumbency-like momentum and cash-on-hand supremacy make upsets improbable.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the IA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$10,051
End Date
Jun 2, 2026
Market Opened
Feb 25, 2026, 6:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the IA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"IA-01 Democratic Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Christina Bohannan" at 97%, followed by "Taylor Wettach" at 2%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 97¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 97% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "IA-01 Democratic Primary Winner" has generated $10.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 25, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "IA-01 Democratic Primary Winner," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "IA-01 Democratic Primary Winner" is "Christina Bohannan" at 97%, meaning the market assigns a 97% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Taylor Wettach" at 2%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "IA-01 Democratic Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.