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icon for SC -01共和党予備選挙優勝者

SC -01共和党予備選挙優勝者

icon for SC -01共和党予備選挙優勝者

SC -01共和党予備選挙優勝者

マーク・スミス 79%

アレックス・ペルバス 9%

サム・マッカウン 3.8%

ジェニー・コスタ・ハニーカット 2.0%

Polymarket

$17,820 Vol.

マーク・スミス 79%

アレックス・ペルバス 9%

サム・マッカウン 3.8%

ジェニー・コスタ・ハニーカット 2.0%

Polymarket

$17,820 Vol.

マーク・スミス

$7,000 Vol.

71%

アレックス・ペルバス

$2,760 Vol.

17%

サム・マッカウン

$3,099 Vol.

4%

ジェニー・コスタ・ハニーカット

$879 Vol.

2%

ジャック・エリソン

$1,010 Vol.

8%

ジェイ・バイヤーズ

$908 Vol.

25%

ローガン・カニンガム

$792 Vol.

<1%

ジャスティン・マイヤーズ

$667 Vol.

<1%

ダン・ブラウン

$705 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 9, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Mark Smith’s strong fundraising total of nearly $727,000 and $548,000 cash on hand, combined with his current role as a state representative, have established him as the clear frontrunner in trader assessments for the June 9 Republican primary. A late-April GOP forum straw poll showed Smith leading with 34 percent support ahead of Alex Pelbath. The open seat, created by Nancy Mace’s gubernatorial bid, features a crowded field that includes Pelbath, a commercial pilot who has raised over $365,000, along with lower-profile candidates such as Jay Byars, Sam McCown, and Jenny Costa Honeycutt. Smith’s early organizational and financial advantages explain the wide gap in current market pricing.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 9, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
音量
$17,820
終了日
2026/06/09
マーケット開始日
Dec 18, 2025, 3:32 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 9, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 9, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Mark Smith’s strong fundraising total of nearly $727,000 and $548,000 cash on hand, combined with his current role as a state representative, have established him as the clear frontrunner in trader assessments for the June 9 Republican primary. A late-April GOP forum straw poll showed Smith leading with 34 percent support ahead of Alex Pelbath. The open seat, created by Nancy Mace’s gubernatorial bid, features a crowded field that includes Pelbath, a commercial pilot who has raised over $365,000, along with lower-profile candidates such as Jay Byars, Sam McCown, and Jenny Costa Honeycutt. Smith’s early organizational and financial advantages explain the wide gap in current market pricing.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 9, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
音量
$17,820
終了日
2026/06/09
マーケット開始日
Dec 18, 2025, 3:32 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 9, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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よくある質問

「SC -01共和党予備選挙優勝者」はPolymarket上の9個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「マーク・スミス」で71%、次いで「ジェイ・バイヤーズ」が25%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、71¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に71%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「SC -01共和党予備選挙優勝者」は$17.8Kの総取引量を生み出しています(Dec 18, 2025のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「SC -01共和党予備選挙優勝者」で取引するには、このページに記載されている9個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「SC -01共和党予備選挙優勝者」の現在のフロントランナーは「マーク・スミス」で71%であり、市場がこの結果に71%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「ジェイ・バイヤーズ」で25%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「SC -01共和党予備選挙優勝者」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。