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Politics·Primary Elections

SC-01 Republican Primary Winner

icon for SC-01 Republican Primary Winner
Politics·Primary Elections

SC-01 Republican Primary Winner

Jenny Costa Honeycutt 100.0%

Jay Byars <1%

Logan Cunningham <1%

Jack Ellison <1%

Polymarket

$26,227 Vol.

Jenny Costa Honeycutt 100.0%

Jay Byars <1%

Logan Cunningham <1%

Jack Ellison <1%

Polymarket

$26,227 Vol.

Jay Byars

$1,295 Vol.

No

Logan Cunningham

$1,108 Vol.

No

Jack Ellison

$1,287 Vol.

No

Jenny Costa Honeycutt

$3,123 Vol.

Yes

Sam McCown

$4,053 Vol.

No

Justin Myers

$760 Vol.

No

Alex Pelbath

$3,714 Vol.

No

Mark Smith

$10,148 Vol.

No

Dan Brown

$739 Vol.

No

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 9, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Jenny Costa Honeycutt and Mark Smith advanced from the June 9 Republican primary for South Carolina’s 1st Congressional District, with Honeycutt at roughly 22% and Smith near 18% in a crowded field that included Sam McCown, Alex Pelbath, Jay Byars, Logan Cunningham, and others. No candidate reached a majority, triggering a June 23 runoff between the top two finishers. Trader pricing on the primary winner reflects this outcome, with elevated odds for Smith and Honeycutt driven by their runoff qualification and recent pre-runoff debates and local interviews. Lower probabilities for non-advancing candidates align with their primary vote shares and elimination. The short window to the runoff leaves room for shifts based on turnout and final messaging on local issues such as affordability and fiscal policy.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 9, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 9, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$26,227
End Date
Jun 9, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 18, 2025, 3:32 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 9, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Jenny Costa Honeycutt and Mark Smith advanced from the June 9 Republican primary for South Carolina’s 1st Congressional District, with Honeycutt at roughly 22% and Smith near 18% in a crowded field that included Sam McCown, Alex Pelbath, Jay Byars, Logan Cunningham, and others. No candidate reached a majority, triggering a June 23 runoff between the top two finishers. Trader pricing on the primary winner reflects this outcome, with elevated odds for Smith and Honeycutt driven by their runoff qualification and recent pre-runoff debates and local interviews. Lower probabilities for non-advancing candidates align with their primary vote shares and elimination. The short window to the runoff leaves room for shifts based on turnout and final messaging on local issues such as affordability and fiscal policy.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 9, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 9, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$26,227
End Date
Jun 9, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 18, 2025, 3:32 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

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Frequently Asked Questions

"SC-01 Republican Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 9 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Jenny Costa Honeycutt" at 100%, followed by "Jay Byars" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "SC-01 Republican Primary Winner" has generated $26.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 18, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "SC-01 Republican Primary Winner," browse the 9 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "SC-01 Republican Primary Winner" is "Jenny Costa Honeycutt" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Jay Byars" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "SC-01 Republican Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.