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政治·プライマリ

NY -13民主党予備選挙優勝者

icon for NY -13民主党予備選挙優勝者
政治·プライマリ

NY -13民主党予備選挙優勝者

アドリアーノ・エスパイラット 70%

ダリアリザ・アビラ・シュヴァリエ 29%

オスカー・ロメロ <1%

テオ・チノ＝タヴァレス <1%

Polymarket

$22,197 Vol.

アドリアーノ・エスパイラット 70%

ダリアリザ・アビラ・シュヴァリエ 29%

オスカー・ロメロ <1%

テオ・チノ＝タヴァレス <1%

Polymarket

$22,197 Vol.

アドリアーノ・エスパイラット

$5,339 Vol.

70%

ダリアリザ・アビラ・シュヴァリエ

$2,740 Vol.

29%

オスカー・ロメロ

$5,203 Vol.

1%

テオ・チノ＝タヴァレス

$1,890 Vol.

<1%

メーガン・ロドリゲス

$2,042 Vol.

<1%

ジャリール・アマドール

$934 Vol.

<1%

ジェームズ・フェルトン・キース

$2,195 Vol.

<1%

マット・ミラー

$1,855 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. Adriano Espaillat leads Polymarket trader consensus at 70% implied probability to win the NY-13 Democratic primary on June 23, buoyed by his long tenure, strong Hispanic voter base in the diverse Upper Manhattan-Bronx district, and endorsements from unions and state AG Letitia James. Challenger Darializa Avila Chevalier, at 29%, gains traction via DSA, Justice Democrats, Sunrise Movement, and Our Revolution endorsements—most recently May 8—amid an April internal poll showing her narrowing a 42-28 gap to 46-35 after messaging on housing and Gaza policy. Recent May 3 reporting on her donations from protest-monitoring firm executives introduces headwinds, while low incumbent name recognition and progressive canvassing could sway low-turnout dynamics in this renter-heavy electorate.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
音量
$22,197
終了日
2026/06/23
マーケット開始日
Dec 19, 2025, 3:59 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. Adriano Espaillat leads Polymarket trader consensus at 70% implied probability to win the NY-13 Democratic primary on June 23, buoyed by his long tenure, strong Hispanic voter base in the diverse Upper Manhattan-Bronx district, and endorsements from unions and state AG Letitia James. Challenger Darializa Avila Chevalier, at 29%, gains traction via DSA, Justice Democrats, Sunrise Movement, and Our Revolution endorsements—most recently May 8—amid an April internal poll showing her narrowing a 42-28 gap to 46-35 after messaging on housing and Gaza policy. Recent May 3 reporting on her donations from protest-monitoring firm executives introduces headwinds, while low incumbent name recognition and progressive canvassing could sway low-turnout dynamics in this renter-heavy electorate.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
音量
$22,197
終了日
2026/06/23
マーケット開始日
Dec 19, 2025, 3:59 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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よくある質問

「NY -13民主党予備選挙優勝者」はPolymarket上の8個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「アドリアーノ・エスパイラット」で70%、次いで「ダリアリザ・アビラ・シュヴァリエ」が29%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、70¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に70%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「NY -13民主党予備選挙優勝者」は$22.2Kの総取引量を生み出しています（Dec 19, 2025のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「NY -13民主党予備選挙優勝者」で取引するには、このページに記載されている8個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「NY -13民主党予備選挙優勝者」の現在のフロントランナーは「アドリアーノ・エスパイラット」で70%であり、市場がこの結果に70%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「ダリアリザ・アビラ・シュヴァリエ」で29%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「NY -13民主党予備選挙優勝者」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。