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Politics·Primaries

Guam Governor Democratic Primary Winner

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Politics·Primaries

Guam Governor Democratic Primary Winner

Therese Terlaje 45%

Josh Tenorio 40%

Joe S. San Agustin 3.8%

Polymarket

$15,114 Vol.

Therese Terlaje 45%

Josh Tenorio 40%

Joe S. San Agustin 3.8%

Polymarket

$15,114 Vol.

Therese Terlaje

$3,623 Vol.

37%

Josh Tenorio

$9,041 Vol.

40%

Joe S. San Agustin

$2,450 Vol.

11%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Guam, scheduled to take place on August 1, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Guam Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Guam Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.In the crowded Guam Democratic primary for governor set for August 1, 2026, trader consensus prices Lt. Gov. Josh Tenorio as a slim favorite at 40.5% implied probability over Sen. Therese Terlaje at 37%, reflecting uncertainty amid six competing slates and no recent public polls. Tenorio's edge stems from his incumbency as lieutenant governor, executive experience, and strong early campaign momentum, including rallies drawing hundreds to over 2,000 supporters in March. Terlaje gained traction with her April 10 launch alongside Sen. Sabina Perez as running mate, capitalizing on her legislative leadership as a key senator. Joe S. San Agustin trails at 11.5%. Endorsements, fundraising reports, or emerging polls could tip the balance in this closely contested race.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Guam, scheduled to take place on August 1, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Guam Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Guam Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$15,114
End Date
Aug 1, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 11, 2025, 10:40 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Guam, scheduled to take place on August 1, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Guam Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Guam Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Guam, scheduled to take place on August 1, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Guam Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Guam Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.In the crowded Guam Democratic primary for governor set for August 1, 2026, trader consensus prices Lt. Gov. Josh Tenorio as a slim favorite at 40.5% implied probability over Sen. Therese Terlaje at 37%, reflecting uncertainty amid six competing slates and no recent public polls. Tenorio's edge stems from his incumbency as lieutenant governor, executive experience, and strong early campaign momentum, including rallies drawing hundreds to over 2,000 supporters in March. Terlaje gained traction with her April 10 launch alongside Sen. Sabina Perez as running mate, capitalizing on her legislative leadership as a key senator. Joe S. San Agustin trails at 11.5%. Endorsements, fundraising reports, or emerging polls could tip the balance in this closely contested race.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Guam, scheduled to take place on August 1, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Guam Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Guam Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$15,114
End Date
Aug 1, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 11, 2025, 10:40 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Guam, scheduled to take place on August 1, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Guam Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Guam Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Guam Governor Democratic Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Josh Tenorio" at 40%, followed by "Therese Terlaje" at 37%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 40¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 40% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Guam Governor Democratic Primary Winner" has generated $15.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 11, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Guam Governor Democratic Primary Winner," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Guam Governor Democratic Primary Winner" is "Josh Tenorio" at 40%, meaning the market assigns a 40% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Therese Terlaje" at 37%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Guam Governor Democratic Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.