Incumbent Lt. Governor Josh Tenorio holds a slim 42.5% trader consensus edge over Sen. Therese Terlaje at 36.5% in the August 1, 2026, Guam Democratic gubernatorial primary, with former Sen. Joe S. San Agustin trailing at 11.3%, reflecting a fragmented field of experienced contenders. Terlaje's April 10 campaign launch alongside Sen. Sabina Perez as her running mate has fueled her rapid rise, capitalizing on her status as a top senatorial vote-getter and calls for legislative-driven change. Tenorio benefits from executive experience under term-limited Gov. Lou Leon Guerrero and an early December 2025 kickoff with Sen. Tina Muna Barnes. Endorsements from party leaders, fundraising disclosures, or primary forums could sharpen separation in this closely contested race.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedTherese Terlaje 45%
Josh Tenorio 40%
Joe S. San Agustin 3.8%
$15,114 Vol.
$15,114 Vol.
Therese Terlaje
37%
Josh Tenorio
40%
Joe S. San Agustin
11%
Therese Terlaje 45%
Josh Tenorio 40%
Joe S. San Agustin 3.8%
$15,114 Vol.
$15,114 Vol.
Therese Terlaje
37%
Josh Tenorio
40%
Joe S. San Agustin
11%
If no 2026 Guam Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Guam Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Market Opened: Dec 11, 2025, 10:40 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Guam Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Guam Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Lt. Governor Josh Tenorio holds a slim 42.5% trader consensus edge over Sen. Therese Terlaje at 36.5% in the August 1, 2026, Guam Democratic gubernatorial primary, with former Sen. Joe S. San Agustin trailing at 11.3%, reflecting a fragmented field of experienced contenders. Terlaje's April 10 campaign launch alongside Sen. Sabina Perez as her running mate has fueled her rapid rise, capitalizing on her status as a top senatorial vote-getter and calls for legislative-driven change. Tenorio benefits from executive experience under term-limited Gov. Lou Leon Guerrero and an early December 2025 kickoff with Sen. Tina Muna Barnes. Endorsements from party leaders, fundraising disclosures, or primary forums could sharpen separation in this closely contested race.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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