Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in the 1320-1359 post range at 100% implied probability for Elon Musk's total X activity throughout March 2026, reflecting verified data from the platform's post counter now publicly accessible after the month's close on March 31. Musk sustained an exceptionally high posting cadence—averaging over 42 posts daily—consistent with resolved prior weekly markets, including 340-359 posts from March 3-10 and 220-239 from March 24-31, driven by his ongoing engagement on topics like AI advancements, SpaceX updates, and policy commentary. Absent platform data revisions, account deletions, or disputes over inclusion criteria like replies and reposts, this outcome faces negligible risk of reversal.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated1320-1359 100.0%
<20 <1%
20-39 <1%
40-59 <1%
$3,509,215 Vol.
$3,509,215 Vol.
<20
No
20-39
No
40-59
No
60-79
No
80-99
No
100-119
No
120-139
No
140-159
No
160-179
No
180-199
No
200-219
No
220-239
No
240-259
No
260-279
No
280-299
No
300-319
No
320-339
No
340-359
No
360-379
No
380-399
No
400-419
No
420-439
No
440-459
No
460-479
No
480-499
No
500-519
No
520-539
No
540-559
No
560-579
No
580-599
No
600-639
No
640-679
No
680-719
No
720-759
No
760-799
No
800-839
No
840-879
No
880-919
No
920-959
No
960-999
No
1000-1039
No
1040-1079
No
1080-1119
No
1120-1159
No
1160-1199
No
1200-1239
No
1240-1279
No
1280-1319
No
1320-1359
Yes
1360-1399
No
1400+
No
1320-1359 100.0%
<20 <1%
20-39 <1%
40-59 <1%
$3,509,215 Vol.
$3,509,215 Vol.
<20
No
20-39
No
40-59
No
60-79
No
80-99
No
100-119
No
120-139
No
140-159
No
160-179
No
180-199
No
200-219
No
220-239
No
240-259
No
260-279
No
280-299
No
300-319
No
320-339
No
340-359
No
360-379
No
380-399
No
400-419
No
420-439
No
440-459
No
460-479
No
480-499
No
500-519
No
520-539
No
540-559
No
560-579
No
580-599
No
600-639
No
640-679
No
680-719
No
720-759
No
760-799
No
800-839
No
840-879
No
880-919
No
920-959
No
960-999
No
1000-1039
No
1040-1079
No
1080-1119
No
1120-1159
No
1160-1199
No
1200-1239
No
1240-1279
No
1280-1319
No
1320-1359
Yes
1360-1399
No
1400+
No
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Jan 24, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in the 1320-1359 post range at 100% implied probability for Elon Musk's total X activity throughout March 2026, reflecting verified data from the platform's post counter now publicly accessible after the month's close on March 31. Musk sustained an exceptionally high posting cadence—averaging over 42 posts daily—consistent with resolved prior weekly markets, including 340-359 posts from March 3-10 and 220-239 from March 24-31, driven by his ongoing engagement on topics like AI advancements, SpaceX updates, and policy commentary. Absent platform data revisions, account deletions, or disputes over inclusion criteria like replies and reposts, this outcome faces negligible risk of reversal.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions