Gavin Newsom leads trader consensus for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028 at 24.1%, reflecting his proactive national profile through swing-state tours, high fundraising totals exceeding $100 million, and podcast appearances showcasing debate skills amid post-2024 election soul-searching. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez trails at 8.3% on her progressive appeal, youth, and viral media presence criticizing party leadership, while Jon Ossoff's 6.2% stems from his Georgia battleground victory and Senate incumbency. Kamala Harris has faded to 4.5% following her 2024 defeat, fragmenting support across a wide field. Consolidation could hinge on 2026 midterm results, key endorsements, and fundraising races, with incumbency advantages and Electoral College math favoring governors like Newsom, Shapiro, or Whitmer in swing states.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
Gavin Newsom 24.1%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 8.3%
Jon Ossoff 6.2%
Kamala Harris 4.5%
$915,219,590 Vol.
$915,219,590 Vol.

Gavin Newsom
24%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
8%

Jon Ossoff
6%

Kamala Harris
4%

Josh Shapiro
4%

Pete Buttigieg
4%

J.B. Pritzker
3%

Jon Stewart
2%

Mark Kelly
2%

Andy Beshear
2%

James Talarico
2%

Ruben Gallego
2%

Wes Moore
2%

Ro Khanna
2%

Gretchen Whitmer
2%

Michelle Obama
1%

Chris Murphy
1%

Rahm Emanuel
1%

Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson
1%

Stephen A. Smith
1%

Liz Cheney
1%

Mark Cuban
1%

Roy Cooper
1%

Oprah Winfrey
1%

Gina Raimondo
1%

Cory Booker
1%

Zohran Mamdani
1%

John Fetterman
1%

LeBron James
1%

MrBeast
1%

Hillary Clinton
1%

Barack Obama
1%

George Clooney
1%

Andrew Yang
1%

Kim Kardashian
1%

Jared Polis
1%

Phil Murphy
1%

Chelsea Clinton
1%

Raphael Warnock
1%

Tim Walz
1%

Beto O’Rourke
1%

Hunter Biden
1%

Jasmine Crockett
1%

Bernie Sanders
1%
Gavin Newsom 24.1%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 8.3%
Jon Ossoff 6.2%
Kamala Harris 4.5%
$915,219,590 Vol.
$915,219,590 Vol.

Gavin Newsom
24%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
8%

Jon Ossoff
6%

Kamala Harris
4%

Josh Shapiro
4%

Pete Buttigieg
4%

J.B. Pritzker
3%

Jon Stewart
2%

Mark Kelly
2%

Andy Beshear
2%

James Talarico
2%

Ruben Gallego
2%

Wes Moore
2%

Ro Khanna
2%

Gretchen Whitmer
2%

Michelle Obama
1%

Chris Murphy
1%

Rahm Emanuel
1%

Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson
1%

Stephen A. Smith
1%

Liz Cheney
1%

Mark Cuban
1%

Roy Cooper
1%

Oprah Winfrey
1%

Gina Raimondo
1%

Cory Booker
1%

Zohran Mamdani
1%

John Fetterman
1%

LeBron James
1%

MrBeast
1%

Hillary Clinton
1%

Barack Obama
1%

George Clooney
1%

Andrew Yang
1%

Kim Kardashian
1%

Jared Polis
1%

Phil Murphy
1%

Chelsea Clinton
1%

Raphael Warnock
1%

Tim Walz
1%

Beto O’Rourke
1%

Hunter Biden
1%

Jasmine Crockett
1%

Bernie Sanders
1%
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.
Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Market Opened: Jul 11, 2025, 2:15 PM ET
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0x2F5e3684c...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
Gavin Newsom leads trader consensus for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028 at 24.1%, reflecting his proactive national profile through swing-state tours, high fundraising totals exceeding $100 million, and podcast appearances showcasing debate skills amid post-2024 election soul-searching. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez trails at 8.3% on her progressive appeal, youth, and viral media presence criticizing party leadership, while Jon Ossoff's 6.2% stems from his Georgia battleground victory and Senate incumbency. Kamala Harris has faded to 4.5% following her 2024 defeat, fragmenting support across a wide field. Consolidation could hinge on 2026 midterm results, key endorsements, and fundraising races, with incumbency advantages and Electoral College math favoring governors like Newsom, Shapiro, or Whitmer in swing states.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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