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Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by...?

Market icon

Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by...?

NEW
Jun 30, 2026
Polymarket

$6,955 Vol.

Polymarket

June 30, 2026

$1,066 Vol.

26%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Aleksandar Vučić ceases to be the President of Serbia for any period of time between November 13, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Aleksandar Vučić's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of Serbia, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Aleksandar Vučić ceases to be the President of Serbia for any period of time between November 13, 2025 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Aleksandar Vučić's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of Serbia, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Ongoing student-led anti-corruption protests, sparked by the November 2024 railway station collapse that killed 16, persist into their second year, fueling demands for President Aleksandar Vučić's accountability amid allegations of government negligence and media suppression. Recent escalations include journalist blockades outside Vučić's Belgrade office on April 1, 2026, protesting attacks on press freedom, and student-police clashes at the University of Belgrade on March 31. Ruling Serbian Progressive Party (SNS) secured narrow victories in recent local elections, hinting at opposition momentum, while Vučić has floated early parliamentary and presidential elections possibly by December 2026. Despite domestic pressure, no resignation signals have emerged, with Vučić maintaining control through loyalists and rejecting term extensions. Traders weigh protest intensity against his historical resilience in snap election scenarios.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Aleksandar Vučić ceases to be the President of Serbia for any period of time between November 13, 2025 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Aleksandar Vučić's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be the government of Serbia, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Volume
$6,955
End Date
Jun 30, 2026
Market Opened
Nov 13, 2025, 4:29 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Aleksandar Vučić ceases to be the President of Serbia for any period of time between November 13, 2025 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Aleksandar Vučić's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of Serbia, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Aleksandar Vučić ceases to be the President of Serbia for any period of time between November 13, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Aleksandar Vučić's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of Serbia, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Aleksandar Vučić ceases to be the President of Serbia for any period of time between November 13, 2025 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Aleksandar Vučić's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of Serbia, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Ongoing student-led anti-corruption protests, sparked by the November 2024 railway station collapse that killed 16, persist into their second year, fueling demands for President Aleksandar Vučić's accountability amid allegations of government negligence and media suppression. Recent escalations include journalist blockades outside Vučić's Belgrade office on April 1, 2026, protesting attacks on press freedom, and student-police clashes at the University of Belgrade on March 31. Ruling Serbian Progressive Party (SNS) secured narrow victories in recent local elections, hinting at opposition momentum, while Vučić has floated early parliamentary and presidential elections possibly by December 2026. Despite domestic pressure, no resignation signals have emerged, with Vučić maintaining control through loyalists and rejecting term extensions. Traders weigh protest intensity against his historical resilience in snap election scenarios.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Aleksandar Vučić ceases to be the President of Serbia for any period of time between November 13, 2025 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Aleksandar Vučić's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be the government of Serbia, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Volume
$6,955
End Date
Jun 30, 2026
Market Opened
Nov 13, 2025, 4:29 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Aleksandar Vučić ceases to be the President of Serbia for any period of time between November 13, 2025 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Aleksandar Vučić's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of Serbia, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "June 30, 2026" at 26%, followed by "December 31, 2025" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 26¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 26% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by...?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Nov 13, 2025. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by...?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by...?" is "June 30, 2026" at 26%, meaning the market assigns a 26% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "December 31, 2025" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.