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Politics·Midterms

Alaska Governor Election Winner

Market icon
Politics·Midterms

Alaska Governor Election Winner

Tom Begich 25%

Bernadette Wilson 21%

Treg Taylor 16.3%

Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins 13%

Polymarket

$740,025 Vol.

Tom Begich 25%

Bernadette Wilson 21%

Treg Taylor 16.3%

Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins 13%

Polymarket

$740,025 Vol.

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Tom Begich

$95,126 Vol.

25%

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Bernadette Wilson

$130,007 Vol.

21%

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Treg Taylor

$3,383 Vol.

16%

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Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins

$480 Vol.

13%

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Nancy Dahlstrom

$98,290 Vol.

11%

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Click Bishop

$2,444 Vol.

6%

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David Bronson

$2,298 Vol.

4%

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Mary Peltola

$319,939 Vol.

3%

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Matt Heilala

$23,836 Vol.

2%

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Bruce Walden

$392 Vol.

2%

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Edna DeVries

$2,613 Vol.

1%

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Shelley Hughes

$2,928 Vol.

1%

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Adam Crum

$31,759 Vol.

1%

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Lisa Murkowski

$2,529 Vol.

1%

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Matt Claman

$153 Vol.

1%

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Hank Kroll

$300 Vol.

<1%

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James Parkin

$23,551 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.In Alaska's open gubernatorial race, with term-limited Gov. Mike Dunleavy sidelined, trader consensus slightly favors former state Sen. Tom Begich at 24.5% amid a fragmented field of over 18 candidates vying in the August 18 nonpartisan top-four primary ahead of the November 3 ranked-choice general election. The tight contest among Begich, conservative activist Bernadette Wilson (20.5%), ex-Attorney General Treg Taylor (16.3%), ex-legislator Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins (12.5%), and Lt. Gov. Nancy Dahlstrom (11.2%) stems from Republican vote-splitting and Begich's name recognition from the prominent Begich political family, bolstered by his recent Southeast Alaska campaign stops in late March. No public polls have emerged to consolidate sentiment; self-funding surges by Taylor and podiatrist Matt Heilala, plus candidate filings due June 1, keep odds fluid. Forums, endorsements, or early polls could create separation in this low-information environment.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.

If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Volume
$740,025
End Date
Nov 3, 2026
Market Opened
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.In Alaska's open gubernatorial race, with term-limited Gov. Mike Dunleavy sidelined, trader consensus slightly favors former state Sen. Tom Begich at 24.5% amid a fragmented field of over 18 candidates vying in the August 18 nonpartisan top-four primary ahead of the November 3 ranked-choice general election. The tight contest among Begich, conservative activist Bernadette Wilson (20.5%), ex-Attorney General Treg Taylor (16.3%), ex-legislator Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins (12.5%), and Lt. Gov. Nancy Dahlstrom (11.2%) stems from Republican vote-splitting and Begich's name recognition from the prominent Begich political family, bolstered by his recent Southeast Alaska campaign stops in late March. No public polls have emerged to consolidate sentiment; self-funding surges by Taylor and podiatrist Matt Heilala, plus candidate filings due June 1, keep odds fluid. Forums, endorsements, or early polls could create separation in this low-information environment.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.

If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Volume
$740,025
End Date
Nov 3, 2026
Market Opened
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Alaska Governor Election Winner " is a prediction market on Polymarket with 17 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Tom Begich" at 25%, followed by "Bernadette Wilson" at 21%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 25¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 25% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Alaska Governor Election Winner " has generated $740K in total trading volume since the market launched on Oct 13, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Alaska Governor Election Winner ," browse the 17 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Alaska Governor Election Winner " is "Tom Begich" at 25%, meaning the market assigns a 25% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Bernadette Wilson" at 21%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Alaska Governor Election Winner " define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.