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Economy·Big Tech

3rd largest company end of April?

Market icon
Economy·Big Tech

3rd largest company end of April?

Mar 31

Apr 30

Mar 31

Apr 30

Alphabet 66%

Apple 26%

NVIDIA 3.2%

Saudi Aramco <1%

Polymarket

$670,600 Vol.

Alphabet 66%

Apple 26%

NVIDIA 3.2%

Saudi Aramco <1%

Polymarket

$670,600 Vol.

Market icon

Alphabet

$2,653 Vol.

66%

Market icon

Apple

$14,097 Vol.

26%

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NVIDIA

$607,007 Vol.

3%

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Saudi Aramco

$18,875 Vol.

1%

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Microsoft

$961 Vol.

1%

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Oracle

$23,862 Vol.

1%

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Amazon

$1,126 Vol.

1%

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Tesla

$2,019 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Alphabet with a 65.5% implied probability of becoming the third-largest company by market capitalization by April 30, driven by Apple's vulnerability to escalating U.S. tariffs on China (34%) and Vietnam (46%), where much of its supply chain resides, eroding its current $2.98 trillion lead over Alphabet's $2.21 trillion. Recent share price pressure on Apple—from a 5% weekly decline amid tariff fears and lagging AI positioning—has widened the sentiment gap, while Alphabet benefits from robust cloud revenue growth and upcoming April 24 earnings expected to showcase Gemini AI momentum. NVIDIA's 3.2% odds reflect volatility risks despite its $3.12 trillion second-place ranking, with Microsoft solidly first at $3.38 trillion; key watchpoints include tariff implementation details and tech sector rotation before month-end.

This market will resolve to the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30, 2026, as of market close.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$670,600
End Date
Apr 30, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 20, 2026, 6:36 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Alphabet with a 65.5% implied probability of becoming the third-largest company by market capitalization by April 30, driven by Apple's vulnerability to escalating U.S. tariffs on China (34%) and Vietnam (46%), where much of its supply chain resides, eroding its current $2.98 trillion lead over Alphabet's $2.21 trillion. Recent share price pressure on Apple—from a 5% weekly decline amid tariff fears and lagging AI positioning—has widened the sentiment gap, while Alphabet benefits from robust cloud revenue growth and upcoming April 24 earnings expected to showcase Gemini AI momentum. NVIDIA's 3.2% odds reflect volatility risks despite its $3.12 trillion second-place ranking, with Microsoft solidly first at $3.38 trillion; key watchpoints include tariff implementation details and tech sector rotation before month-end.

Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Alphabet with a 65.5% implied probability of becoming the third-largest company by market capitalization by April 30, driven by Apple's vulnerability to escalating U.S. tariffs on China (34%) and Vietnam (46%), where much of its supply chain resides, eroding its current $2.98 trillion lead over Alphabet's $2.21 trillion. Recent share price pressure on Apple—from a 5% weekly decline amid tariff fears and lagging AI positioning—has widened the sentiment gap, while Alphabet benefits from robust cloud revenue growth and upcoming April 24 earnings expected to showcase Gemini AI momentum. NVIDIA's 3.2% odds reflect volatility risks despite its $3.12 trillion second-place ranking, with Microsoft solidly first at $3.38 trillion; key watchpoints include tariff implementation details and tech sector rotation before month-end.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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Frequently Asked Questions

"3rd largest company end of April?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Alphabet" at 66%, followed by "Apple" at 26%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 66¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 66% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "3rd largest company end of April?" has generated $670.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 20, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "3rd largest company end of April?," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "3rd largest company end of April?" is "Alphabet" at 66%, meaning the market assigns a 66% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Apple" at 26%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "3rd largest company end of April?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.