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#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 10?

Market icon

#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 10?

Mar 10

Mar 10

Claude by Anthropic 76%

ChatGPT 10%

Freecash - Get Paid Real Money <1%

Google Gemini <1%

Polymarket
NEW

$36,719 Vol.

Claude by Anthropic 76%

ChatGPT 10%

Freecash - Get Paid Real Money <1%

Google Gemini <1%

Polymarket
NEW

$36,719 Vol.

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Claude by Anthropic

$4,833 Vol.

76%

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ChatGPT

$2,189 Vol.

10%

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Freecash - Get Paid Real Money

$541 Vol.

1%

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Google Gemini

$664 Vol.

1%

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Gmail - Email by Google

$12,036 Vol.

<1%

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Threads

$825 Vol.

<1%

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Google

$1,745 Vol.

<1%

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TikTok - Videos, Shop & LIVE

$13,886 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date.

To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
Volume
$36,719
End Date
Mar 10, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 5, 2026, 5:57 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 10?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Claude by Anthropic" at 76%, followed by "ChatGPT" at 10%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 76¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 76% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 10?" has generated $36.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 5, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 10?," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 10?" is "Claude by Anthropic" at 76%, meaning the market assigns a 76% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "ChatGPT" at 10%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 10?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.