Latest ensemble forecasts from global models like ECMWF and GFS, clustering projected highs for Wuhan on March 27 between 21-23°C, underpin the tight trader consensus with 18-22.5% implied probabilities across those outcomes. Differentiating factors include uncertainty in southerly wind strength and cloud cover during spring transition, potentially pushing toward 24-25°C (25% odds) if high pressure builds or dipping to 20°C or below amid lingering cold air masses. Historical March data from China Meteorological Administration shows average highs near 18°C with 3-4°C variability, amplified by urban heat effects; traders eye upcoming 00Z model runs for resolution-shifting details on frontal timing.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Wuhan on March 27?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on March 27?
25°C or higher 25%
22°C 23%
23°C 20%
21°C 18%
15°C or below
2%
16°C
12%
17°C
14%
18°C
16%
19°C
16%
20°C
16%
21°C
18%
22°C
23%
23°C
20%
24°C
17%
25°C or higher
25%
25°C or higher 25%
22°C 23%
23°C 20%
21°C 18%
15°C or below
2%
16°C
12%
17°C
14%
18°C
16%
19°C
16%
20°C
16%
21°C
18%
22°C
23%
23°C
20%
24°C
17%
25°C or higher
25%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 23, 2026, 6:17 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from global models like ECMWF and GFS, clustering projected highs for Wuhan on March 27 between 21-23°C, underpin the tight trader consensus with 18-22.5% implied probabilities across those outcomes. Differentiating factors include uncertainty in southerly wind strength and cloud cover during spring transition, potentially pushing toward 24-25°C (25% odds) if high pressure builds or dipping to 20°C or below amid lingering cold air masses. Historical March data from China Meteorological Administration shows average highs near 18°C with 3-4°C variability, amplified by urban heat effects; traders eye upcoming 00Z model runs for resolution-shifting details on frontal timing.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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