Latest NOAA Weather Prediction Center and ECMWF ensemble forecasts drive trader consensus toward Dallas highs in the low-to-mid 80s°F on March 27, with a high-pressure ridge over the Southern Plains channeling warm southerly winds and temperatures 15-20°F above seasonal norms. Market-implied odds favor 86°F+ at 24% reflecting hotter GFS runs amid dry mid-level air reducing cloud cover risks, while 82-83°F (19.5%) and 80-81°F (16%) gain from cooler Euro model biases and potential boundary-layer mixing limits. Differentiating factors include 2-4°F ensemble spreads tied to soil moisture residuals from recent rains and jet stream waviness, with NWS guidance updates expected to sharpen resolution amid typical spring forecast uncertainty.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Dallas on March 27?
Highest temperature in Dallas on March 27?
86°F or higher 23%
82-83°F 20%
84-85°F 17%
76-77°F 14%
67°F or below
2%
68-69°F
4%
70-71°F
3%
72-73°F
5%
74-75°F
6%
76-77°F
14%
78-79°F
12%
80-81°F
14%
82-83°F
20%
84-85°F
17%
86°F or higher
23%
86°F or higher 23%
82-83°F 20%
84-85°F 17%
76-77°F 14%
67°F or below
2%
68-69°F
4%
70-71°F
3%
72-73°F
5%
74-75°F
6%
76-77°F
14%
78-79°F
12%
80-81°F
14%
82-83°F
20%
84-85°F
17%
86°F or higher
23%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 23, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest NOAA Weather Prediction Center and ECMWF ensemble forecasts drive trader consensus toward Dallas highs in the low-to-mid 80s°F on March 27, with a high-pressure ridge over the Southern Plains channeling warm southerly winds and temperatures 15-20°F above seasonal norms. Market-implied odds favor 86°F+ at 24% reflecting hotter GFS runs amid dry mid-level air reducing cloud cover risks, while 82-83°F (19.5%) and 80-81°F (16%) gain from cooler Euro model biases and potential boundary-layer mixing limits. Differentiating factors include 2-4°F ensemble spreads tied to soil moisture residuals from recent rains and jet stream waviness, with NWS guidance updates expected to sharpen resolution amid typical spring forecast uncertainty.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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