Recent Central Weather Administration forecasts peg Taipei's March 27 high at 22-24°C under partly cloudy conditions with light northeasterly winds, anchoring trader odds at 22°C (25% implied probability) ahead of nearby outcomes like 23°C and 21°C or below. A fading cold frontal passage from mainland China has capped potential heat above 26°C by enhancing cloud cover and humidity, while sufficient insolation prevents sharper cooling. Ensemble models from ECMWF and GFS exhibit tight clustering in the 21-25°C band, aligning with March climatology (historical mean high ~23°C, standard deviation 2-3°C); evening updates may refine this if low-level convergence sparks isolated showers.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Taipei on March 27?
Highest temperature in Taipei on March 27?
22°C 22%
30°C 20.0%
23°C 18%
21°C or below 17%
21°C or below
17%
22°C
25%
23°C
18%
24°C
12%
25°C
14%
26°C
14%
27°C
14%
28°C
13%
29°C
9%
30°C
12%
31°C or higher
9%
22°C 22%
30°C 20.0%
23°C 18%
21°C or below 17%
21°C or below
17%
22°C
25%
23°C
18%
24°C
12%
25°C
14%
26°C
14%
27°C
14%
28°C
13%
29°C
9%
30°C
12%
31°C or higher
9%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 23, 2026, 6:33 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Central Weather Administration forecasts peg Taipei's March 27 high at 22-24°C under partly cloudy conditions with light northeasterly winds, anchoring trader odds at 22°C (25% implied probability) ahead of nearby outcomes like 23°C and 21°C or below. A fading cold frontal passage from mainland China has capped potential heat above 26°C by enhancing cloud cover and humidity, while sufficient insolation prevents sharper cooling. Ensemble models from ECMWF and GFS exhibit tight clustering in the 21-25°C band, aligning with March climatology (historical mean high ~23°C, standard deviation 2-3°C); evening updates may refine this if low-level convergence sparks isolated showers.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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