Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 12°C (27%) and 13°C (26.5%) for London's highest temperature on March 27, driven primarily by the UK Met Office's latest forecast max of 12°C under partly sunny skies with light winds. Ensemble models from ECMWF and GFS show a narrow spread, with means hovering 12-13°C, reflecting modest uncertainty from variable cloud cover and southerly air advection that could boost insolation for a 1°C edge. Historical March 27 highs average 11-12°C at Heathrow, aligning with climatological norms, while recent ECMWF updates slightly warm trends have traders hedging between these outcomes ahead of evening model refreshes. Lower odds for extremes underscore consensus on mild, stable conditions.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoHighest temperature in London on March 27?
Highest temperature in London on March 27?
13°C 29%
12°C 26%
14°C 17%
11°C 13%
8°C or below
2%
9°C
3%
10°C
7%
11°C
13%
12°C
26%
13°C
29%
14°C
17%
15°C
12%
16°C
3%
17°C
4%
18°C or higher
2%
13°C 29%
12°C 26%
14°C 17%
11°C 13%
8°C or below
2%
9°C
3%
10°C
7%
11°C
13%
12°C
26%
13°C
29%
14°C
17%
15°C
12%
16°C
3%
17°C
4%
18°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 23, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 12°C (27%) and 13°C (26.5%) for London's highest temperature on March 27, driven primarily by the UK Met Office's latest forecast max of 12°C under partly sunny skies with light winds. Ensemble models from ECMWF and GFS show a narrow spread, with means hovering 12-13°C, reflecting modest uncertainty from variable cloud cover and southerly air advection that could boost insolation for a 1°C edge. Historical March 27 highs average 11-12°C at Heathrow, aligning with climatological norms, while recent ECMWF updates slightly warm trends have traders hedging between these outcomes ahead of evening model refreshes. Lower odds for extremes underscore consensus on mild, stable conditions.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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