Trader consensus clusters tightly around 44-51°F for NYC's March 24 high temperature, driven by ensemble weather model agreement on a building high-pressure ridge ushering sunny skies and mild warm air advection over the Northeast. NOAA's GFS model projects 50-52°F, edging toward 50-51°F odds, while ECMWF holds cooler at 46-49°F, fueling the razor-thin lead for 46-47°F at 27%. Recent 12z runs show a slight warming trend amid post-frontal clearing, though lingering cool soil temperatures from winter cap extremes—historical March 24 averages sit at 48°F. Key differentiator: ridge axis positioning, with 18z updates pivotal; cloud breaks or northerly breeze could tip toward 44-45°F.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Nueva York el 24 de marzo?
¿La temperatura más alta en Nueva York el 24 de marzo?
46-47°F 30%
48-49°F 26%
44-45°F 21%
50-51°F 16%
37°F o menos
2%
38-39°F
3%
40-41°F
4%
42-43°F
9%
44-45°F
21%
46-47°F
27%
48-49°F
26%
50-51°F
16%
52-53°F
9%
54-55°F
9%
56°F o más
2%
46-47°F 30%
48-49°F 26%
44-45°F 21%
50-51°F 16%
37°F o menos
2%
38-39°F
3%
40-41°F
4%
42-43°F
9%
44-45°F
21%
46-47°F
27%
48-49°F
26%
50-51°F
16%
52-53°F
9%
54-55°F
9%
56°F o más
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 20, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus clusters tightly around 44-51°F for NYC's March 24 high temperature, driven by ensemble weather model agreement on a building high-pressure ridge ushering sunny skies and mild warm air advection over the Northeast. NOAA's GFS model projects 50-52°F, edging toward 50-51°F odds, while ECMWF holds cooler at 46-49°F, fueling the razor-thin lead for 46-47°F at 27%. Recent 12z runs show a slight warming trend amid post-frontal clearing, though lingering cool soil temperatures from winter cap extremes—historical March 24 averages sit at 48°F. Key differentiator: ridge axis positioning, with 18z updates pivotal; cloud breaks or northerly breeze could tip toward 44-45°F.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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