Trader consensus overwhelmingly backs 11°C as Munich's highest temperature on March 21, driven by aligned forecasts from the Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) and ECMWF models projecting overcast skies, light southerly winds, and highs clustered at 10-12°C amid a stable mid-latitude trough. Historical March data for Munich supports this, with median daily maxima around 11°C under similar cloudy, post-winter setups, and recent soundings confirming shallow boundary layers limiting convective heating. Realistic challenges include an unexpected high-pressure ridge clearing skies for 13-15°C peaks (unlikely per 00Z runs) or a cold northerly surge dropping to 10°C, though ensemble spreads remain narrow at ±1-2°C.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Munich on March 21?
Highest temperature in Munich on March 21?
11°C 99.7%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
15°C or higher <1%
$86,777 Vol.
$86,777 Vol.
10°C
<1%
11°C
100%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C or higher
<1%
11°C 99.7%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
15°C or higher <1%
$86,777 Vol.
$86,777 Vol.
10°C
<1%
11°C
100%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 17, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Ventana de disputas
Final
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus overwhelmingly backs 11°C as Munich's highest temperature on March 21, driven by aligned forecasts from the Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) and ECMWF models projecting overcast skies, light southerly winds, and highs clustered at 10-12°C amid a stable mid-latitude trough. Historical March data for Munich supports this, with median daily maxima around 11°C under similar cloudy, post-winter setups, and recent soundings confirming shallow boundary layers limiting convective heating. Realistic challenges include an unexpected high-pressure ridge clearing skies for 13-15°C peaks (unlikely per 00Z runs) or a cold northerly surge dropping to 10°C, though ensemble spreads remain narrow at ±1-2°C.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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