Trader sentiment on Munich's March 23 high temperature tilts toward 13°C at 27% implied probability, driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts converging on a daytime peak near 12-13°C under a persistent high-pressure ridge ushering mild Atlantic air. Close competition with 12°C (22%) and 14°C (15.5%) reflects model spread: subtle differences in cloud cover timing—ECMWF runs favor partial clearing for slightly higher insolation boosting 13°C, while GFS variants predict lingering stratocumulus capping at 12°C. Historical March norms around 11°C provide baseline, but urban heat island effects at Munich Airport station add 1-2°C upside potential; monitor DWD updates for 24-hour shifts in boundary layer mixing.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Múnich el 23 de marzo?
¿La temperatura más alta en Múnich el 23 de marzo?
13°C 27%
12°C 22%
14°C 16%
11°C 14%
6°C o menos
1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
2%
9°C
3%
10°C
7%
11°C
14%
12°C
22%
13°C
27%
14°C
16%
15°C
3%
16°C o más
3%
13°C 27%
12°C 22%
14°C 16%
11°C 14%
6°C o menos
1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
2%
9°C
3%
10°C
7%
11°C
14%
12°C
22%
13°C
27%
14°C
16%
15°C
3%
16°C o más
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 19, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment on Munich's March 23 high temperature tilts toward 13°C at 27% implied probability, driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts converging on a daytime peak near 12-13°C under a persistent high-pressure ridge ushering mild Atlantic air. Close competition with 12°C (22%) and 14°C (15.5%) reflects model spread: subtle differences in cloud cover timing—ECMWF runs favor partial clearing for slightly higher insolation boosting 13°C, while GFS variants predict lingering stratocumulus capping at 12°C. Historical March norms around 11°C provide baseline, but urban heat island effects at Munich Airport station add 1-2°C upside potential; monitor DWD updates for 24-hour shifts in boundary layer mixing.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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