Trader consensus on Milan's highest temperature on March 24 centers around 16-20°C, with 16°C leading at 31%, driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts projecting peaks in this range amid a mild high-pressure ridge over southern Europe. Historical data shows average March highs near 14-15°C at Milan Linate Airport, but recent model runs indicate above-normal warmth from southerly flows, tempered by potential cloudiness. Key variables include jet stream positioning—favoring warmth if stable—or northerly gusts risking cooler outcomes below 15°C; diurnal heating under clear skies could push toward 20°C+. High uncertainty stems from 5-7 day model divergence, with updates from ARPA Lombardia expected to refine odds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Milan on March 24?
Highest temperature in Milan on March 24?
16°C 31%
17°C 11%
18°C 11%
19°C 10%
12°C or below
8%
13°C
10%
14°C
15%
15°C
17%
16°C
31%
17°C
20%
18°C
16%
19°C
20%
20°C
17%
21°C
17%
22°C or higher
16%
16°C 31%
17°C 11%
18°C 11%
19°C 10%
12°C or below
8%
13°C
10%
14°C
15%
15°C
17%
16°C
31%
17°C
20%
18°C
16%
19°C
20%
20°C
17%
21°C
17%
22°C or higher
16%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 20, 2026, 6:27 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Milan's highest temperature on March 24 centers around 16-20°C, with 16°C leading at 31%, driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts projecting peaks in this range amid a mild high-pressure ridge over southern Europe. Historical data shows average March highs near 14-15°C at Milan Linate Airport, but recent model runs indicate above-normal warmth from southerly flows, tempered by potential cloudiness. Key variables include jet stream positioning—favoring warmth if stable—or northerly gusts risking cooler outcomes below 15°C; diurnal heating under clear skies could push toward 20°C+. High uncertainty stems from 5-7 day model divergence, with updates from ARPA Lombardia expected to refine odds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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