Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors highs of 84-85°F (32%) and 86-87°F (26.5%) for Houston on March 24, propelled by the National Weather Service's latest forecast indicating peak afternoon temperatures in the mid-to-upper 80s under a persistent high-pressure ridge fostering subsidence and abundant sunshine. Ensemble models from NOAA's GFS and ECMWF align closely around 85°F, with minor divergences stemming from uncertainties in morning cloud cover and evening sea-breeze timing, which could shave 1-2°F off peaks or allow slight convective heating. Historical March norms hover near 77°F, but southerly winds advecting Gulf moisture have spiked recent days into the low 80s, amplifying warmth without instability risks; traders eye 6 PM CST model refreshes for resolution shifts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Houston on March 24?
Highest temperature in Houston on March 24?
84-85°F 32%
82-83°F 27%
86-87°F 17%
90-91°F 15%
75°F or below
8%
76-77°F
13%
78-79°F
18%
80-81°F
20%
82-83°F
20%
84-85°F
32%
86-87°F
27%
88-89°F
18%
90-91°F
19%
92-93°F
16%
94°F or higher
8%
84-85°F 32%
82-83°F 27%
86-87°F 17%
90-91°F 15%
75°F or below
8%
76-77°F
13%
78-79°F
18%
80-81°F
20%
82-83°F
20%
84-85°F
32%
86-87°F
27%
88-89°F
18%
90-91°F
19%
92-93°F
16%
94°F or higher
8%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 20, 2026, 6:14 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors highs of 84-85°F (32%) and 86-87°F (26.5%) for Houston on March 24, propelled by the National Weather Service's latest forecast indicating peak afternoon temperatures in the mid-to-upper 80s under a persistent high-pressure ridge fostering subsidence and abundant sunshine. Ensemble models from NOAA's GFS and ECMWF align closely around 85°F, with minor divergences stemming from uncertainties in morning cloud cover and evening sea-breeze timing, which could shave 1-2°F off peaks or allow slight convective heating. Historical March norms hover near 77°F, but southerly winds advecting Gulf moisture have spiked recent days into the low 80s, amplifying warmth without instability risks; traders eye 6 PM CST model refreshes for resolution shifts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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