Latest NOAA forecast ensembles for Seattle on March 24 center around a high of 52-54°F, driving the tight race among top outcomes with 54°F or higher at 38% implied probability, edging out 52-53°F (28.5%) and 50-51°F (28%). GFS and ECMWF models show a mild ridge building over the Pacific Northwest, potentially thinning marine stratus clouds for afternoon heating, but persistent low-level onshore flow caps upside potential below seasonal norms of 55°F. Ensemble spreads of ±3°F reflect uncertainty in boundary layer mixing and diurnal temperature range at Sea-Tac Airport, the resolution site; traders weigh recent model runs favoring slight warming against historical March 24 volatility from Puget Sound moderation. Key update: 12Z model refresh expected soon.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Seattle on March 24?
Highest temperature in Seattle on March 24?
54°F or higher 39%
50-51°F 29%
52-53°F 26%
48-49°F 14%
35°F or below
1%
36-37°F
1%
38-39°F
2%
40-41°F
1%
42-43°F
1%
44-45°F
1%
46-47°F
3%
48-49°F
12%
50-51°F
29%
52-53°F
28%
54°F or higher
39%
54°F or higher 39%
50-51°F 29%
52-53°F 26%
48-49°F 14%
35°F or below
1%
36-37°F
1%
38-39°F
2%
40-41°F
1%
42-43°F
1%
44-45°F
1%
46-47°F
3%
48-49°F
12%
50-51°F
29%
52-53°F
28%
54°F or higher
39%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 20, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest NOAA forecast ensembles for Seattle on March 24 center around a high of 52-54°F, driving the tight race among top outcomes with 54°F or higher at 38% implied probability, edging out 52-53°F (28.5%) and 50-51°F (28%). GFS and ECMWF models show a mild ridge building over the Pacific Northwest, potentially thinning marine stratus clouds for afternoon heating, but persistent low-level onshore flow caps upside potential below seasonal norms of 55°F. Ensemble spreads of ±3°F reflect uncertainty in boundary layer mixing and diurnal temperature range at Sea-Tac Airport, the resolution site; traders weigh recent model runs favoring slight warming against historical March 24 volatility from Puget Sound moderation. Key update: 12Z model refresh expected soon.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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