Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 50-51°F (34.5%) and 52-53°F (30.5%) for Seattle's March 22 high, driven by the National Weather Service's latest forecast of 52°F amid persistent marine stratus clouds and onshore flow capping temperatures. NOAA ensemble models average 51.2°F, with GFS leaning cooler at 50.8°F due to stronger low-level advection from Puget Sound, while ECMWF holds steadier at 52.4°F assuming partial afternoon clearing. These leading bins differentiate via micro-scale boundary layer effects: denser cloud decks suppress peaks by 1-2°F below March's 55°F climatological norm, though historical diurnal breaks occasionally push outliers higher—traders eye 2 PM PST soundings for final conviction.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Seattle el 22 de marzo?
¿La temperatura más alta en Seattle el 22 de marzo?
50-51°F 33%
52-53°F 29%
48-49°F 19%
54-55°F 6%
$12,480 Vol.
$12,480 Vol.
45°F o menos
1%
46-47°F
3%
48-49°F
19%
50-51°F
33%
52-53°F
29%
54-55°F
6%
56-57°F
2%
58-59°F
1%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
1%
64°F o más
<1%
50-51°F 33%
52-53°F 29%
48-49°F 19%
54-55°F 6%
$12,480 Vol.
$12,480 Vol.
45°F o menos
1%
46-47°F
3%
48-49°F
19%
50-51°F
33%
52-53°F
29%
54-55°F
6%
56-57°F
2%
58-59°F
1%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
1%
64°F o más
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 18, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 50-51°F (34.5%) and 52-53°F (30.5%) for Seattle's March 22 high, driven by the National Weather Service's latest forecast of 52°F amid persistent marine stratus clouds and onshore flow capping temperatures. NOAA ensemble models average 51.2°F, with GFS leaning cooler at 50.8°F due to stronger low-level advection from Puget Sound, while ECMWF holds steadier at 52.4°F assuming partial afternoon clearing. These leading bins differentiate via micro-scale boundary layer effects: denser cloud decks suppress peaks by 1-2°F below March's 55°F climatological norm, though historical diurnal breaks occasionally push outliers higher—traders eye 2 PM PST soundings for final conviction.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes