Traders' near-unanimous 99.9% implied probability on 82-83°F for Atlanta's March 21 high stems from National Weather Service forecasts converging on a daytime peak of 82°F under partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds, fueled by a persistent warm air advection pattern. Ensemble models from GFS and ECMWF align tightly, reflecting climatological norms for late March—averaging 68°F historically—but elevated by recent ridging aloft. Verified observations from KATL airport sensors yesterday support this trajectory. Realistic challenges include a sudden frontal boundary introducing cooler air masses or enhanced cloud cover, though current guidance assigns under 1% odds to deviations beyond 84°F.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Atlanta el 21 de marzo?
¿La temperatura más alta en Atlanta el 21 de marzo?
82-83°F 99.8%
90°F o más <1%
84-85°F <1%
86-87°F <1%
$159,627 Vol.
$159,627 Vol.
82-83°F
100%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90°F o más
<1%
82-83°F 99.8%
90°F o más <1%
84-85°F <1%
86-87°F <1%
$159,627 Vol.
$159,627 Vol.
82-83°F
100%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90°F o más
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 17, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders' near-unanimous 99.9% implied probability on 82-83°F for Atlanta's March 21 high stems from National Weather Service forecasts converging on a daytime peak of 82°F under partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds, fueled by a persistent warm air advection pattern. Ensemble models from GFS and ECMWF align tightly, reflecting climatological norms for late March—averaging 68°F historically—but elevated by recent ridging aloft. Verified observations from KATL airport sensors yesterday support this trajectory. Realistic challenges include a sudden frontal boundary introducing cooler air masses or enhanced cloud cover, though current guidance assigns under 1% odds to deviations beyond 84°F.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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