Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward a high of 76-77°F in Atlanta on March 23 (34% implied probability), driven by latest NOAA and ECMWF ensemble forecasts showing a building upper-level ridge fostering southerly thermal advection and highs in the upper 70s. High uncertainty stems from model spread: GFS leans warmer (80-83°F potential with clear skies and subsidence), while cooler EURO runs (72-75°F) factor possible mid-level clouds or weak frontal timing shifts. Key variables include 500 mb height anomalies for ridge strength, low-level moisture for diurnal heating efficiency, and any convective debris from prior days—historical March averages hover near 65°F, amplifying the warm bias in trader sentiment ahead of afternoon soundings.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Atlanta on March 23?
Highest temperature in Atlanta on March 23?
76-77°F 41%
78-79°F 20%
80-81°F 19%
74-75°F 17%
65°F or below
<1%
66-67°F
1%
68-69°F
2%
70-71°F
4%
72-73°F
9%
74-75°F
17%
76-77°F
35%
78-79°F
20%
80-81°F
19%
82-83°F
6%
84°F or higher
4%
76-77°F 41%
78-79°F 20%
80-81°F 19%
74-75°F 17%
65°F or below
<1%
66-67°F
1%
68-69°F
2%
70-71°F
4%
72-73°F
9%
74-75°F
17%
76-77°F
35%
78-79°F
20%
80-81°F
19%
82-83°F
6%
84°F or higher
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 19, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward a high of 76-77°F in Atlanta on March 23 (34% implied probability), driven by latest NOAA and ECMWF ensemble forecasts showing a building upper-level ridge fostering southerly thermal advection and highs in the upper 70s. High uncertainty stems from model spread: GFS leans warmer (80-83°F potential with clear skies and subsidence), while cooler EURO runs (72-75°F) factor possible mid-level clouds or weak frontal timing shifts. Key variables include 500 mb height anomalies for ridge strength, low-level moisture for diurnal heating efficiency, and any convective debris from prior days—historical March averages hover near 65°F, amplifying the warm bias in trader sentiment ahead of afternoon soundings.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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