Ensemble forecasts from NOAA's GFS and ECMWF models are the primary driver behind closely matched trader sentiment for Atlanta's highest temperature on March 22, with a developing high-pressure ridge over the Southeast favoring mid-to-upper 80s peaks at 26.5% for 86-87°F, edging out 82-83°F and 84-85°F at 24% each. Recent 12Z runs show the ridge strengthening, amplifying downslope warming from the Appalachians amid low soil moisture from winter droughts, though boundary layer mixing and cloud cover introduce uncertainty differentiating these bins. Historical March highs average 67°F but have hit 88°F in mild springs; traders eye afternoon updates for resolution shifts, as urban heat island effects could nudge outcomes higher.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Atlanta on March 22?
Highest temperature in Atlanta on March 22?
84-85°F 24%
86-87°F 24%
82-83°F 15%
88-89°F 15%
73°F or below
1%
74-75°F
2%
76-77°F
5%
78-79°F
14%
80-81°F
11%
82-83°F
24%
84-85°F
24%
86-87°F
24%
88-89°F
14%
90-91°F
5%
92°F or higher
5%
84-85°F 24%
86-87°F 24%
82-83°F 15%
88-89°F 15%
73°F or below
1%
74-75°F
2%
76-77°F
5%
78-79°F
14%
80-81°F
11%
82-83°F
24%
84-85°F
24%
86-87°F
24%
88-89°F
14%
90-91°F
5%
92°F or higher
5%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 18, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ensemble forecasts from NOAA's GFS and ECMWF models are the primary driver behind closely matched trader sentiment for Atlanta's highest temperature on March 22, with a developing high-pressure ridge over the Southeast favoring mid-to-upper 80s peaks at 26.5% for 86-87°F, edging out 82-83°F and 84-85°F at 24% each. Recent 12Z runs show the ridge strengthening, amplifying downslope warming from the Appalachians amid low soil moisture from winter droughts, though boundary layer mixing and cloud cover introduce uncertainty differentiating these bins. Historical March highs average 67°F but have hit 88°F in mild springs; traders eye afternoon updates for resolution shifts, as urban heat island effects could nudge outcomes higher.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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