Traders heavily favor 33°C (44.5% implied probability) as Singapore's highest temperature on March 22, driven by the National Environment Agency's (NEA) latest forecast projecting a daytime high of 33°C amid persistent warm, humid conditions during the inter-monsoon period. This aligns with recent observations of 32–33°C peaks over the past week, influenced by weak winds, urban heat island effects, and lingering El Niño patterns elevating baseline temperatures above the March historical average of 31.5–32.5°C. Lower odds for 32°C (33.5%) and 34°C (19%) reflect model consensus from NEA and ECMWF, with minimal support for extremes below 31°C or above 35°C given stable atmospheric stability and no tropical cyclone threats. Upcoming hourly updates could shift these market-implied odds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Singapore on March 22?
Highest temperature in Singapore on March 22?
33°C 46%
32°C 33%
34°C 19%
31°C 3.5%
$71,306 Vol.
$71,306 Vol.
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
4%
32°C
33%
33°C
46%
34°C
19%
35°C or higher
3%
33°C 46%
32°C 33%
34°C 19%
31°C 3.5%
$71,306 Vol.
$71,306 Vol.
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
4%
32°C
33%
33°C
46%
34°C
19%
35°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 18, 2026, 6:03 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders heavily favor 33°C (44.5% implied probability) as Singapore's highest temperature on March 22, driven by the National Environment Agency's (NEA) latest forecast projecting a daytime high of 33°C amid persistent warm, humid conditions during the inter-monsoon period. This aligns with recent observations of 32–33°C peaks over the past week, influenced by weak winds, urban heat island effects, and lingering El Niño patterns elevating baseline temperatures above the March historical average of 31.5–32.5°C. Lower odds for 32°C (33.5%) and 34°C (19%) reflect model consensus from NEA and ECMWF, with minimal support for extremes below 31°C or above 35°C given stable atmospheric stability and no tropical cyclone threats. Upcoming hourly updates could shift these market-implied odds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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