Traders overwhelmingly back 33°C (36.5% implied probability) for Singapore's highest temperature on March 23, driven by the National Environment Agency's (NEA) latest forecast predicting a peak of 33°C amid mostly sunny intervals with afternoon thundery showers. This aligns with recent observations—March 22 recorded 32.6°C and March 21 hit 33.2°C—reflecting Singapore's equatorial climate, where sea-level heat indices often exceed 40°C due to high humidity and urban heat islands. Historical March averages hover at 31.8°C, but lingering El Niño effects have pushed anomalies higher, with models like ECMWF implying 32-34°C ranges; upcoming hourly NEA updates could shift odds as the day unfolds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Singapur el 23 de marzo?
¿La temperatura más alta en Singapur el 23 de marzo?
33°C 36%
32°C 23%
34°C 22%
31°C 12%
$11,517 Vol.
$11,517 Vol.
26°C o menos
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
4%
31°C
12%
32°C
23%
33°C
36%
34°C
22%
35°C
5%
36°C o más
2%
33°C 36%
32°C 23%
34°C 22%
31°C 12%
$11,517 Vol.
$11,517 Vol.
26°C o menos
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
4%
31°C
12%
32°C
23%
33°C
36%
34°C
22%
35°C
5%
36°C o más
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 19, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders overwhelmingly back 33°C (36.5% implied probability) for Singapore's highest temperature on March 23, driven by the National Environment Agency's (NEA) latest forecast predicting a peak of 33°C amid mostly sunny intervals with afternoon thundery showers. This aligns with recent observations—March 22 recorded 32.6°C and March 21 hit 33.2°C—reflecting Singapore's equatorial climate, where sea-level heat indices often exceed 40°C due to high humidity and urban heat islands. Historical March averages hover at 31.8°C, but lingering El Niño effects have pushed anomalies higher, with models like ECMWF implying 32-34°C ranges; upcoming hourly NEA updates could shift odds as the day unfolds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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