Ensemble weather model forecasts from ECMWF and GFS drive the tight race among 32–34°C outcomes for Singapore's highest temperature on March 24, with 33°C leading at 30.5% implied probability amid projections of 32.5–33.5°C peaks under mostly sunny conditions and moderate humidity. Singapore's equatorial location yields March average highs near 32°C, amplified by urban heat island effects and fading El Niño warmth, but weak sea breezes and potential afternoon clouds differentiate lower odds for 34°C+ versus sub-32°C laggards. Historical data shows 95th percentile March highs at 34.2°C, tempering extremes; traders monitor NEA's hyper-local updates for pivotal shifts before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Singapur el 24 de marzo?
¿La temperatura más alta en Singapur el 24 de marzo?
33°C 31%
34°C 25%
32°C 20%
31°C 10%
25°C o menos
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
2%
28°C
1%
29°C
4%
30°C
4%
31°C
10%
32°C
26%
33°C
31%
34°C
25%
35°C o más
5%
33°C 31%
34°C 25%
32°C 20%
31°C 10%
25°C o menos
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
2%
28°C
1%
29°C
4%
30°C
4%
31°C
10%
32°C
26%
33°C
31%
34°C
25%
35°C o más
5%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 20, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ensemble weather model forecasts from ECMWF and GFS drive the tight race among 32–34°C outcomes for Singapore's highest temperature on March 24, with 33°C leading at 30.5% implied probability amid projections of 32.5–33.5°C peaks under mostly sunny conditions and moderate humidity. Singapore's equatorial location yields March average highs near 32°C, amplified by urban heat island effects and fading El Niño warmth, but weak sea breezes and potential afternoon clouds differentiate lower odds for 34°C+ versus sub-32°C laggards. Historical data shows 95th percentile March highs at 34.2°C, tempering extremes; traders monitor NEA's hyper-local updates for pivotal shifts before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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