Trader consensus on Ankara's highest temperature on March 24 clusters tightly around 10-13°C, driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts projecting mild highs near 12°C under a developing high-pressure ridge over central Anatolia. Differentiating the close leaders—12°C at 31.5%, tied 10-11°C at 22% each—are model divergences on northerly wind strength and cloud cover from an approaching trough, potentially capping peaks at 10°C or allowing 13°C if clearer skies prevail. Recent observations show diurnal swings of 5-8°C, with historical March 24 averages at 12.5°C per Turkish MGM data reinforcing the pack-leading implied probabilities amid typical spring variability. Key: official station max governs resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Ankara on March 24?
Highest temperature in Ankara on March 24?
12°C 32%
11°C 22%
10°C 21%
13°C 20%
7°C or below
1%
8°C
7%
9°C
8%
10°C
21%
11°C
22%
12°C
32%
13°C
20%
14°C
14%
15°C
15%
16°C
4%
17°C or higher
3%
12°C 32%
11°C 22%
10°C 21%
13°C 20%
7°C or below
1%
8°C
7%
9°C
8%
10°C
21%
11°C
22%
12°C
32%
13°C
20%
14°C
14%
15°C
15%
16°C
4%
17°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 20, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Ankara's highest temperature on March 24 clusters tightly around 10-13°C, driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts projecting mild highs near 12°C under a developing high-pressure ridge over central Anatolia. Differentiating the close leaders—12°C at 31.5%, tied 10-11°C at 22% each—are model divergences on northerly wind strength and cloud cover from an approaching trough, potentially capping peaks at 10°C or allowing 13°C if clearer skies prevail. Recent observations show diurnal swings of 5-8°C, with historical March 24 averages at 12.5°C per Turkish MGM data reinforcing the pack-leading implied probabilities amid typical spring variability. Key: official station max governs resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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