Latest ensemble weather models, including ECMWF and GFS, converge on a daytime high of 11°C in Ankara on March 23, driving trader sentiment toward this outcome at 37.5% implied probability, with 12°C (26.5%) and 10°C (20.5%) close behind. The Turkish State Meteorological Service's most recent forecast confirms 11°C under partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds, which are suppressing temperatures below the March historical average of 13°C. Stable high-pressure ridging over central Anatolia limits upside potential, while no incoming fronts suggest minimal deviation; traders await tomorrow's 12z model updates for final confirmation before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Ankara on March 23?
Highest temperature in Ankara on March 23?
11°C 38%
12°C 27%
10°C 21%
13°C 7.9%
$43,369 Vol.
$43,369 Vol.
4°C or below
<1%
5°C
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
1%
8°C
1%
9°C
5%
10°C
21%
11°C
38%
12°C
27%
13°C
8%
14°C or higher
3%
11°C 38%
12°C 27%
10°C 21%
13°C 7.9%
$43,369 Vol.
$43,369 Vol.
4°C or below
<1%
5°C
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
1%
8°C
1%
9°C
5%
10°C
21%
11°C
38%
12°C
27%
13°C
8%
14°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 19, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble weather models, including ECMWF and GFS, converge on a daytime high of 11°C in Ankara on March 23, driving trader sentiment toward this outcome at 37.5% implied probability, with 12°C (26.5%) and 10°C (20.5%) close behind. The Turkish State Meteorological Service's most recent forecast confirms 11°C under partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds, which are suppressing temperatures below the March historical average of 13°C. Stable high-pressure ridging over central Anatolia limits upside potential, while no incoming fronts suggest minimal deviation; traders await tomorrow's 12z model updates for final confirmation before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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