Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 13–15°C for London's highest temperature on March 21, driven by the latest UK Met Office and ECMWF model runs forecasting mild Atlantic air masses with southerly winds pushing daytime highs into this range amid partial cloud cover. Differentiating factors include subtle variations in frontal timing and cloud thickness: fuller overcast favors 13°C (26.5% implied odds) by suppressing insolation, while clearer skies boost 14–15°C (52.5% combined) via enhanced solar heating on a baseline March diurnal range of 8–12°C historically. Ensembles show low spread beyond 17°C (6.2% total), with negligible risk of extremes given stable jet stream positioning; traders eye evening updates for refinement.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Londres el 21 de marzo?
¿La temperatura más alta en Londres el 21 de marzo?
14°C 30%
13°C 26%
15°C 22%
16°C 10%
$12,187 Vol.
$12,187 Vol.
8°C o menos
1%
9°C
2%
10°C
2%
11°C
2%
12°C
9%
13°C
26%
14°C
30%
15°C
22%
16°C
10%
17°C
3%
18°C o más
3%
14°C 30%
13°C 26%
15°C 22%
16°C 10%
$12,187 Vol.
$12,187 Vol.
8°C o menos
1%
9°C
2%
10°C
2%
11°C
2%
12°C
9%
13°C
26%
14°C
30%
15°C
22%
16°C
10%
17°C
3%
18°C o más
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 17, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 13–15°C for London's highest temperature on March 21, driven by the latest UK Met Office and ECMWF model runs forecasting mild Atlantic air masses with southerly winds pushing daytime highs into this range amid partial cloud cover. Differentiating factors include subtle variations in frontal timing and cloud thickness: fuller overcast favors 13°C (26.5% implied odds) by suppressing insolation, while clearer skies boost 14–15°C (52.5% combined) via enhanced solar heating on a baseline March diurnal range of 8–12°C historically. Ensembles show low spread beyond 17°C (6.2% total), with negligible risk of extremes given stable jet stream positioning; traders eye evening updates for refinement.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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