Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters tightly around 92-97°F highs for Dallas on March 22, driven by the latest National Weather Service forecast pinpointing 94°F amid a potent upper-level ridge over Texas that promotes subsidence, clear skies, and efficient solar heating. Major models like ECMWF and GFS ensembles converge here, with southerly winds advecting warm, moist Gulf air boosting boundary layer temperatures. Differentiating the top bins—94-95°F (27.5%) versus 92-93°F (25.5%) or 96-97°F (24%)—are subtle variances in afternoon cloud development and mixing depth, per high-resolution HRRR runs; minimal precipitation risk keeps extremes like 98°F+ (20.5%) viable but secondary. Odds may shift with tomorrow's 12z updates.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Dallas el 22 de marzo?
¿La temperatura más alta en Dallas el 22 de marzo?
92-93°F 26%
96-97°F 24%
94-95°F 22%
90-91°F 18%
79°F o menos
4%
80-81°F
3%
82-83°F
7%
84-85°F
10%
86-87°F
9%
88-89°F
9%
90-91°F
18%
92-93°F
26%
94-95°F
28%
96-97°F
24%
98°F o más
15%
92-93°F 26%
96-97°F 24%
94-95°F 22%
90-91°F 18%
79°F o menos
4%
80-81°F
3%
82-83°F
7%
84-85°F
10%
86-87°F
9%
88-89°F
9%
90-91°F
18%
92-93°F
26%
94-95°F
28%
96-97°F
24%
98°F o más
15%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 18, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters tightly around 92-97°F highs for Dallas on March 22, driven by the latest National Weather Service forecast pinpointing 94°F amid a potent upper-level ridge over Texas that promotes subsidence, clear skies, and efficient solar heating. Major models like ECMWF and GFS ensembles converge here, with southerly winds advecting warm, moist Gulf air boosting boundary layer temperatures. Differentiating the top bins—94-95°F (27.5%) versus 92-93°F (25.5%) or 96-97°F (24%)—are subtle variances in afternoon cloud development and mixing depth, per high-resolution HRRR runs; minimal precipitation risk keeps extremes like 98°F+ (20.5%) viable but secondary. Odds may shift with tomorrow's 12z updates.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes