Trader consensus favors a Denver high of 80-81°F at 30.5% implied probability on March 24, propelled by NOAA Weather Prediction Center guidance and GFS/ECMWF ensembles depicting a robust high-pressure ridge over the central Rockies, fostering downslope chinook winds that historically spike Front Range temperatures 20-30°F above normal. Recent model runs since March 22 show tightening agreement on ridge strength, boosting odds for 82-87°F outcomes (19-12.5%), while spreading risk lower. Key variables include wind trajectories—persistent westerlies unlock 85°F+ potential—versus cloud intrusions or weak cold fronts capping at 72-77°F (10.5-19.5%); soil moisture deficits from winter drought further aid warming. March baselines average 57°F highs, underscoring forecast volatility.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Denver on March 24?
Highest temperature in Denver on March 24?
80-81°F 35%
76-77°F 20%
82-83°F 20%
84-85°F 19%
69°F or below
9%
70-71°F
10%
72-73°F
11%
74-75°F
9%
76-77°F
20%
78-79°F
15%
80-81°F
35%
82-83°F
20%
84-85°F
19%
86-87°F
13%
88°F or higher
11%
80-81°F 35%
76-77°F 20%
82-83°F 20%
84-85°F 19%
69°F or below
9%
70-71°F
10%
72-73°F
11%
74-75°F
9%
76-77°F
20%
78-79°F
15%
80-81°F
35%
82-83°F
20%
84-85°F
19%
86-87°F
13%
88°F or higher
11%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Denver International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/denver/KDEN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 20, 2026, 6:19 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/denver/KDENResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/denver/KDENResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors a Denver high of 80-81°F at 30.5% implied probability on March 24, propelled by NOAA Weather Prediction Center guidance and GFS/ECMWF ensembles depicting a robust high-pressure ridge over the central Rockies, fostering downslope chinook winds that historically spike Front Range temperatures 20-30°F above normal. Recent model runs since March 22 show tightening agreement on ridge strength, boosting odds for 82-87°F outcomes (19-12.5%), while spreading risk lower. Key variables include wind trajectories—persistent westerlies unlock 85°F+ potential—versus cloud intrusions or weak cold fronts capping at 72-77°F (10.5-19.5%); soil moisture deficits from winter drought further aid warming. March baselines average 57°F highs, underscoring forecast volatility.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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